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CheckWeather AUHamilton
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Hamilton weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 14° in Hamilton today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 13°, with a 39% chance of rain.

14°
13°
14°
11°
14°
17°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Light drizzle
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 57%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Cloudy
Today 13°·Low ·Rain 7%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Cloudy
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 5%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Hamilton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Fri
Clear
17°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
18°
±3°
Sun
Drizzle
18° 11°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
17°
±4°
Tue
Partly cloudy
14°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Fri
Light rain
17° 10°
±7°
Sat
Cloudy
19° 10°
±8°

Hamilton, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 6°C), with roughly 579 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Hamilton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Hamilton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
25°
13°
Feb
25°
12°
Mar
23°
12°
Apr
17°
May
15°
Jun
12°
Jul
12°
Aug
14°
Sep
16°
Oct
18°
Nov
21°
10°
Dec
23°
11°

Which forecast is most accurate in Hamilton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±1.0 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
90±0.5°C96±2.2 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
83
/100rank #3
90±0.5°C97±1.4 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°13° to 15°±52%5% to 57% chance
Tomorrow±1°12° to 13°±26%13% to 39% chance
Tue±1°13° to 14°±19%2% to 21% chance
Wed±1°11° to 12°±38%14% to 52% chance
Thu±2°13° to 15°±3%0% to 3% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hamilton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:46
Sunset
18:14
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hamilton today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Hamilton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Hamilton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Hamilton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hamilton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Hamilton (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hamilton?
January is typically the warmest month in Hamilton, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Hamilton get?
The coldest month in Hamilton is June, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Hamilton get?
Hamilton sees roughly 579 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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