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CheckWeather AUSwan Hill
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Swan Hill weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Swan Hill's high today between 15° and 18°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 17°, with a 6% chance of rain.

17°
17°
16°
15°
17°
19°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°Fridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Swan Hill and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Thu
Clear
17°
±2°
Fri
Clear
19°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
21°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
25° 11°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
20°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
17°
±5°
Wed
Mostly clear
16°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
20°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
24° 10°
±3°
Sat
Partly cloudy
24° 10°
±12°

Swan Hill is a small town of about 12,000 people in Victoria, sitting at 35.3°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Swan Hill with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Deniliquin, Moama, Echuca.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Swan Hill?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
G
German ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C97±1.5 km/t100100% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
91
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C94±2.8 km/t9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
90
/100rank #3
93±0.4°C98±1.0 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°15° to 18°±5%0% to 5% chance
Tomorrow±2°16° to 18°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tue±2°16° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°14° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Thu±2°16° to 19°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Swan Hill

today, local time
Sunrise
06:38
Sunset
18:10
Daylight
11h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Swan Hill today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Swan Hill today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Swan Hill today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Swan Hill and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Swan Hill?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Swan Hill (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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