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Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 5°C

Bendigo weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Bendigo's high today between 24° and 29°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 19°, with a 100% chance of rain.

27°17°
19°8°
15°5°
17°6°
19°6°
22°8°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Light drizzle
Feels 18° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 97%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Light drizzle
Feels 17° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 97%
GermanDWD ICON
20°
Overcast
Feels 21° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 72%

Latest for Bendigo: European (ECMWF): 17° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 16° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 20° Overcast.

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Bendigo weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Bendigo swings 25°C across the year, from 29°C highs in February to 4°C lows in July, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 535 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
29°C average high
Coldest month
July
4°C average low
Wettest month
July
535 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
103,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Bendigo and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bendigo hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bendigo 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
27° 17°
±5°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
19° 8°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
15° 5°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
17° 6°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19° 6°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
22° 8°
±3°
Fri
Light rain
17° 12°
±7°
Sat
Drizzle
22° 11°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
18° 8°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
21° 5°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
21° 9°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
20° 9°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
23° 8°
±4°
Fri
Partly cloudy
27° 9°
±6°

Bendigo, Victoria. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Bendigo right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Bendigo's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Bendigo weather by month

what to expect in Bendigo through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Bendigo's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Bendigo by season.

Jan
28°
16°
Warm
Feb
29°
15°
Hot
Mar
24°
12°
Warm
Apr
19°
9°
Mild
May
15°
7°
Mild
Jun
12°
5°
Cool
Jul
11°
4°
Cool
Wettest
Aug
13°
4°
Cool
Sep
15°
5°
Mild
Oct
19°
7°
Mild
Nov
23°
10°
Warm
Dec
26°
12°
Warm

What Bendigo's weather is like through the year

Bendigo runs from warm summers, with February highs near 29°C, to cold winters, when July lows sit around 4°C (a swing of about 25°C across the year). July is usually the wettest month, and Bendigo sees roughly 535 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Bendigo

The most comfortable time to visit Bendigo is usually March, April, October and November, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.

How Bendigo's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.6°C

Around Bendigo, 2015-2024 averaged 0.6°C warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2019.

1995: −1.3°C vs the 30-year average1996: −1.4°C vs the 30-year average1997: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average1998: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2001: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2004: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2005: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2006: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2007: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2009: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2010: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2011: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2013: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2015: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2020: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2021: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2022: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 35°C

no clear change

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −7 vs the 30-year average1996: −9 vs the 30-year average1997: +6 vs the 30-year average1998: +3 vs the 30-year average1999: +1 vs the 30-year average2000: +2 vs the 30-year average2001: +4 vs the 30-year average2002: +2 vs the 30-year average2003: −0 vs the 30-year average2004: +1 vs the 30-year average2005: −6 vs the 30-year average2006: +6 vs the 30-year average2007: +6 vs the 30-year average2008: −1 vs the 30-year average2009: +10 vs the 30-year average2010: −6 vs the 30-year average2011: −12 vs the 30-year average2012: −2 vs the 30-year average2013: +1 vs the 30-year average2014: +6 vs the 30-year average2015: +3 vs the 30-year average2016: +1 vs the 30-year average2017: −4 vs the 30-year average2018: +5 vs the 30-year average2019: +21 vs the 30-year average2020: −7 vs the 30-year average2021: −5 vs the 30-year average2022: −5 vs the 30-year average2023: −7 vs the 30-year average2024: −3 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

1 fewer night a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +5 vs the 30-year average1996: +1 vs the 30-year average1997: +9 vs the 30-year average1998: −1 vs the 30-year average1999: +0 vs the 30-year average2000: −3 vs the 30-year average2001: −3 vs the 30-year average2002: +1 vs the 30-year average2003: +2 vs the 30-year average2004: −3 vs the 30-year average2005: +1 vs the 30-year average2006: +1 vs the 30-year average2007: −1 vs the 30-year average2008: −2 vs the 30-year average2009: +1 vs the 30-year average2010: −2 vs the 30-year average2011: +0 vs the 30-year average2012: −1 vs the 30-year average2013: −3 vs the 30-year average2014: −3 vs the 30-year average2015: +4 vs the 30-year average2016: +3 vs the 30-year average2017: +3 vs the 30-year average2018: −1 vs the 30-year average2019: −2 vs the 30-year average2020: −2 vs the 30-year average2021: −1 vs the 30-year average2022: −1 vs the 30-year average2023: −4 vs the 30-year average2024: −2 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +0% vs the 30-year average1996: +3% vs the 30-year average1997: −2% vs the 30-year average1998: −2% vs the 30-year average1999: −2% vs the 30-year average2000: −2% vs the 30-year average2001: +0% vs the 30-year average2002: +7% vs the 30-year average2003: +3% vs the 30-year average2004: +0% vs the 30-year average2005: −2% vs the 30-year average2006: +0% vs the 30-year average2007: +3% vs the 30-year average2008: −2% vs the 30-year average2009: +0% vs the 30-year average2010: −4% vs the 30-year average2011: −4% vs the 30-year average2012: +0% vs the 30-year average2013: +3% vs the 30-year average2014: +0% vs the 30-year average2015: +0% vs the 30-year average2016: +3% vs the 30-year average2017: −4% vs the 30-year average2018: +3% vs the 30-year average2019: +3% vs the 30-year average2020: +3% vs the 30-year average2021: +0% vs the 30-year average2022: −4% vs the 30-year average2023: −2% vs the 30-year average2024: −2% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >35°C vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−1.3°C−7+5+0%
1996−1.4°C−9+1+3%
1997±0.0°C+6+9−2%
1998−0.3°C+3−1−2%
1999+0.1°C+1+0−2%
2000−0.2°C+2−3−2%
2001±0.0°C+4−3+0%
2002+0.1°C+2+1+7%
2003−0.3°C−0+2+3%
2004−0.4°C+1−3+0%
2005±0.0°C−6+1−2%
2006±0.0°C+6+1+0%
2007+0.6°C+6−1+3%
2008−0.2°C−1−2−2%
2009+0.4°C+10+1+0%
2010−0.5°C−6−2−4%
2011−0.5°C−12+0−4%
2012−0.3°C−2−1+0%
2013+0.2°C+1−3+3%
2014+0.7°C+6−3+0%
2015+0.4°C+3+4+0%
2016+0.1°C+1+3+3%
2017+0.4°C−4+3−4%
2018+0.7°C+5−1+3%
2019+0.8°C+21−2+3%
2020−0.5°C−7−2+3%
2021−0.6°C−5−1+0%
2022−0.2°C−5−1−4%
2023+0.2°C−7−4−2%
2024+0.7°C−3−2−2%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Bendigo, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Bendigo?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C98±1.1 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
91
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C96±1.9 km/h9597% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
86
/100rank #3
77±1.3°C97±1.7 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Bendigo, scoring 97/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 91. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°24° to 29°±20%55% to 75% chance
Tomorrow±3°17° to 20°±20%80% to 100% chance
Mon±2°14° to 16°±1%2% to 3% chance
Tue±2°16° to 18°±9%5% to 14% chance
Wed±4°17° to 21°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bendigo

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
19:47
Daylight
13h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bendigo today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Bendigo's high today between 24° and 29°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 19°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Bendigo today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Bendigo on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 80% (European 100%, American 100%, German 80%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 75%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bendigo?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bendigo (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the German at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bendigo?
February is typically the warmest month in Bendigo, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Bendigo get?
The coldest month in Bendigo is July, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Bendigo get?
Bendigo sees roughly 535 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Bendigo?
The most comfortable time to visit Bendigo is usually March, April, October and November, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Bendigo?
Rarely - Bendigo very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.
Is Bendigo getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Bendigo, 2015-2024 averaged 0.6°C warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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