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CheckWeather AU›Kangaroo Flat
Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 5°C

Kangaroo Flat weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Kangaroo Flat's high today between 23° and 29°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 19°, with a 100% chance of rain.

26°16°
19°8°
15°5°
16°5°
18°5°
22°8°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
29°
Heavy drizzle
Today 29°·Low 16°·Rain 75%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Light rain
Today 23°·Low 16°·Rain 58%
GermanDWD ICON
28°
Showers
Today 28°·Low 17°·Rain 65%
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Kangaroo Flat weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Kangaroo Flat swings 25°C across the year, from 29°C highs in February to 4°C lows in July, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 565 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
29°C average high
Coldest month
July
4°C average low
Wettest month
July
565 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
10,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Kangaroo Flat and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kangaroo Flat hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kangaroo Flat 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
26° 16°
±5°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
19° 8°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
15° 5°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16° 5°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 5°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
22° 8°
±3°
Fri
Light rain
16° 12°
±7°
Sat
Drizzle
21° 10°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
18° 7°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
20° 5°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
20° 9°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
20° 9°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
22° 7°
±5°
Fri
Partly cloudy
26° 9°
±6°

Kangaroo Flat, Victoria is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 4°C), with roughly 565 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Kangaroo Flat right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Kangaroo Flat climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
28°
16°
Feb
29°
15°
Mar
24°
12°
Apr
19°
9°
May
15°
7°
Jun
12°
5°
Jul
11°
4°
Aug
13°
4°
Sep
15°
5°
Oct
19°
7°
Nov
23°
10°
Dec
26°
12°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Kangaroo Flat has changed since 1995

Kangaroo Flat sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Bendigo. That square ran 0.6°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Bendigo page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Kangaroo Flat?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
97±0.2°C98±1.0 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
90
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C96±2.1 km/h8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
86
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C96±2.2 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°23° to 29°±17%58% to 75% chance
Tomorrow±3°17° to 20°±15%85% to 100% chance
Mon±2°14° to 16°±1%2% to 3% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±9%5% to 14% chance
Wed±3°17° to 20°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kangaroo Flat

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
19:47
Daylight
13h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kangaroo Flat today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Kangaroo Flat's high today between 23° and 29°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 19°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Kangaroo Flat today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Kangaroo Flat on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 85% (European 100%, American 100%, German 85%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 75%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kangaroo Flat?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kangaroo Flat (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the German at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kangaroo Flat?
February is typically the warmest month in Kangaroo Flat, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Kangaroo Flat get?
The coldest month in Kangaroo Flat is July, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Kangaroo Flat get?
Kangaroo Flat sees roughly 565 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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