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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Echuca weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 32° in Echuca today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 22°, with a 95% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

32°17°
22°10°
18°5°
19°7°
21°6°
25°9°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
30°
Light drizzle
Today 30°·Low 17°·Rain 43%
AmericanNOAA GFS
32°
Cloudy
Today 32°·Low 18°·Rain 13%
GermanDWD ICON
32°
Cloudy
Today 32°·Low 17°·Rain 15%
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Echuca weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Echuca swings 27°C across the year, from 31°C highs in January to 4°C lows in August, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 397 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
31°C average high
Coldest month
August
4°C average low
Wettest month
June
397 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
15,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Echuca and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Echuca hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Echuca 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
32° 17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
22° 10°
±5°
Mon
Partly cloudy
18° 5°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
19° 7°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
21° 6°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
25° 9°
±4°
Fri
Light rain
19° 12°
±8°
Sat
Drizzle
23° 12°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
20° 9°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
22° 6°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 10°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
21° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
23° 9°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
28° 10°
±6°

Echuca, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 31°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 4°C), with roughly 397 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Echuca right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Echuca climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
31°
18°
Feb
31°
16°
Mar
27°
14°
Apr
22°
11°
May
17°
7°
Jun
14°
6°
Jul
14°
5°
Aug
14°
4°
Sep
18°
6°
Oct
23°
10°
Nov
25°
12°
Dec
29°
14°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Echuca's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.5°C

Around Echuca, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.5°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −1.2°C vs the 30-year average1996: −1.3°C vs the 30-year average1997: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average1998: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average1999: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2004: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2005: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2007: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2009: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2010: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2011: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2013: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2015: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2019: +1.0°C vs the 30-year average2020: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2021: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2022: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 35°C

2 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −13 vs the 30-year average1996: −15 vs the 30-year average1997: +8 vs the 30-year average1998: +4 vs the 30-year average1999: −1 vs the 30-year average2000: +0 vs the 30-year average2001: +6 vs the 30-year average2002: +1 vs the 30-year average2003: +2 vs the 30-year average2004: +0 vs the 30-year average2005: −8 vs the 30-year average2006: +12 vs the 30-year average2007: +7 vs the 30-year average2008: −2 vs the 30-year average2009: +16 vs the 30-year average2010: −9 vs the 30-year average2011: −21 vs the 30-year average2012: −5 vs the 30-year average2013: +9 vs the 30-year average2014: +4 vs the 30-year average2015: +9 vs the 30-year average2016: +3 vs the 30-year average2017: +3 vs the 30-year average2018: +11 vs the 30-year average2019: +27 vs the 30-year average2020: −6 vs the 30-year average2021: −13 vs the 30-year average2022: −14 vs the 30-year average2023: −9 vs the 30-year average2024: −6 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −1% vs the 30-year average1996: +3% vs the 30-year average1997: −1% vs the 30-year average1998: −1% vs the 30-year average1999: −4% vs the 30-year average2000: −1% vs the 30-year average2001: −1% vs the 30-year average2002: +9% vs the 30-year average2003: +3% vs the 30-year average2004: −1% vs the 30-year average2005: −1% vs the 30-year average2006: −1% vs the 30-year average2007: +3% vs the 30-year average2008: −1% vs the 30-year average2009: +3% vs the 30-year average2010: −4% vs the 30-year average2011: −1% vs the 30-year average2012: −1% vs the 30-year average2013: +3% vs the 30-year average2014: −1% vs the 30-year average2015: −1% vs the 30-year average2016: −1% vs the 30-year average2017: −4% vs the 30-year average2018: +3% vs the 30-year average2019: +3% vs the 30-year average2020: +3% vs the 30-year average2021: −1% vs the 30-year average2022: −4% vs the 30-year average2023: −4% vs the 30-year average2024: −4% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >35°C vs avgWind vs avg
1995−1.2°C−13−1%
1996−1.3°C−15+3%
1997±0.0°C+8−1%
1998−0.2°C+4−1%
1999±0.0°C−1−4%
2000−0.1°C+0−1%
2001+0.1°C+6−1%
2002+0.2°C+1+9%
2003−0.4°C+2+3%
2004−0.3°C+0−1%
2005±0.0°C−8−1%
2006+0.2°C+12−1%
2007+0.7°C+7+3%
2008−0.2°C−2−1%
2009+0.6°C+16+3%
2010−0.6°C−9−4%
2011−0.6°C−21−1%
2012−0.5°C−5−1%
2013+0.4°C+9+3%
2014+0.7°C+4−1%
2015+0.3°C+9−1%
2016+0.1°C+3−1%
2017+0.4°C+3−4%
2018+0.9°C+11+3%
2019+1.0°C+27+3%
2020−0.4°C−6+3%
2021−0.7°C−13−1%
2022−0.6°C−14−4%
2023+0.2°C−9−4%
2024+0.5°C−6−4%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Echuca, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Echuca?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
88±0.6°C98±1.2 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
76±1.3°C91±4.5 km/h9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
86
/100rank #3
90±0.5°C95±2.4 km/h7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°30° to 32°±30%13% to 43% chance
Tomorrow±5°19° to 24°±35%60% to 95% chance
Mon±1°18° to 19°±15%0% to 15% chance
Tue±2°18° to 20°±2%3% to 5% chance
Wed±3°20° to 23°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Echuca

today, local time
Sunrise
06:26
Sunset
19:44
Daylight
13h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Echuca today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 32° in Echuca today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 22°, with a 95% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Echuca today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Echuca on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 60% (European 95%, American 92%, German 60%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 43%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Echuca?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Echuca (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Echuca?
January is typically the warmest month in Echuca, with average highs around 31°C.
How cold does Echuca get?
The coldest month in Echuca is August, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Echuca get?
Echuca sees roughly 397 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
Is Echuca getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Echuca, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.5°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

More AU weather