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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUNewcastle
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Newcastle weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Newcastle today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 22°, with a 81% chance of rain.

22°14°
22°12°
18°10°
20°
17°11°
19°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Clear
Today 22°·Low 14°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Mostly clear
Today 21°·Low 13°·Rain 1%
GermanDWD ICON
23°
Partly cloudy
Today 23°·Low 15°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Newcastle and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
22° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
22° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
17° 11°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
19°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
20° 10°
±4°
Sun
Partly cloudy
25°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
28° 12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
23° 14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
23° 11°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
18° 10°
±6°
Fri
Clear
25°
±5°
Sat
Clear
28° 13°
±4°

Newcastle, New South Wales. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Newcastle right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Newcastle's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Newcastle weather by month

what to expect in Newcastle through the year

Here is Newcastle's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Newcastle by season.

Jan
26°
21°
Warm
Feb
27°
20°
Warm
Mar
26°
20°
Warm
Apr
22°
16°
Warm
Wettest
May
19°
12°
Mild
Jun
17°
10°
Mild
Jul
17°
10°
Mild
Aug
19°
11°
Mild
Sep
23°
13°
Warm
Oct
23°
15°
Warm
Nov
24°
18°
Warm
Dec
27°
20°
Warm

What Newcastle's weather is like through the year

Newcastle runs from warm summers, with February highs near 27°C, to cold winters, when June lows sit around 10°C (a swing of about 17°C across the year). April is usually the wettest month, and Newcastle sees roughly 849 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Newcastle

The most comfortable time to visit Newcastle is usually January, March, May and June, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Newcastle?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
83±0.9°C92±3.8 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
82
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C91±4.5 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
80
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C94±3.2 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the American model has been the most accurate forecast for Newcastle, scoring 83/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 82. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°21° to 23°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±1°21° to 22°±24%57% to 81% chance
Tuemodels agree18° to 18°±35%50% to 85% chance
Wed±3°19° to 21°±59%6% to 65% chance
Thu±1°16° to 18°±47%10% to 57% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Newcastle

today, local time
Sunrise
06:04
Sunset
17:38
Daylight
11h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Newcastle today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Newcastle today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Newcastle today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Newcastle and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Newcastle?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Newcastle (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the German at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Newcastle?
February is typically the warmest month in Newcastle, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Newcastle get?
The coldest month in Newcastle is June, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Newcastle get?
Newcastle sees roughly 849 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Newcastle?
The most comfortable time to visit Newcastle is usually January, March, May and June, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Newcastle?
Rarely - Newcastle very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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