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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Merewether weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Merewether's high today between 24° and 28°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 30°, with a 76% chance of rain.

27°15°
30°18°
22°16°
21°15°
22°13°
23°13°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Clear
Feels 21° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Clear
Feels 20° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 96%
GermanDWD ICON
21°
Mainly clear
Feels 23° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 89%

Latest for Merewether: European (ECMWF): 20° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 18° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 21° Mainly clear.

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Merewether weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Merewether swings 17°C across the year, from 26°C highs in January to 9°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1298 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
26°C average high
Coldest month
July
9°C average low
Wettest month
February
1298 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
11,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Merewether and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Merewether hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Merewether 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
27° 15°
±4°
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
30° 18°
models agree
Mon
Showers
22° 16°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 15°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
22° 13°
±6°
Thu
Partly cloudy
23° 13°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
24° 15°
±7°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
27° 16°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
21° 15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 13°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 14°
±5°
Wed
Showers
27° 14°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 15°
±6°
Fri
Partly cloudy
23° 14°
±6°

Merewether, New South Wales is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 9°C), with roughly 1298 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Merewether right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Merewether climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
26°
21°
Feb
26°
19°
Mar
25°
19°
Apr
22°
16°
May
19°
12°
Jun
17°
10°
Jul
16°
9°
Aug
17°
9°
Sep
22°
12°
Oct
22°
14°
Nov
23°
17°
Dec
26°
19°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Merewether has changed since 1995

Merewether sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Newcastle. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Newcastle page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Merewether?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
78
/100rank #1
73±1.5°C90±5.1 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
78
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C93±3.6 km/h5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
76
/100rank #3
71±1.6°C86±7.2 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°24° to 28°±61%0% to 61% chance
Tomorrow±1°30° to 31°±53%23% to 76% chance
Mon±4°21° to 24°±7%90% to 97% chance
Tue±4°19° to 23°±33%23% to 56% chance
Wed±6°19° to 25°±43%6% to 49% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Merewether

today, local time
Sunrise
06:02
Sunset
19:12
Daylight
13h 10m

Common questions

What's the weather in Merewether today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Merewether's high today between 24° and 28°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 30°, with a 76% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Merewether today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Merewether on Sunday 25 October: European 76%, American 68%, German 23%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 61%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Merewether?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Merewether (CheckWeather Score 78/100), ahead of the German at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Merewether?
January is typically the warmest month in Merewether, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Merewether get?
The coldest month in Merewether is July, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Merewether get?
Merewether sees roughly 1298 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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