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CheckWeather AUWarners Bay
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Warners Bay weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Warners Bay's high today between 20° and 23°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 22°, with a 76% chance of rain.

22°15°
22°12°
18°10°
20°
17°10°
19°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Clear
Today 22°·Low 14°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Mostly clear
Today 20°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
23°
Partly cloudy
Today 23°·Low 15°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Warners Bay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
22° 15°
±3°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
22° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
17° 10°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
19°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
20° 11°
±4°
Sun
Partly cloudy
25°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
28° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 15°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
21° 12°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
18° 11°
±5°
Fri
Clear
25°
±4°
Sat
Partly cloudy
28° 15°
±8°

Warners Bay, New South Wales is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 8°C), with roughly 849 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Warners Bay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Warners Bay climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
27°
20°
Feb
28°
19°
Mar
27°
19°
Apr
23°
14°
May
19°
11°
Jun
17°
Jul
17°
Aug
20°
10°
Sep
23°
11°
Oct
24°
14°
Nov
25°
17°
Dec
28°
19°

Which forecast is most accurate in Warners Bay?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C96±1.8 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C96±2.2 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
80
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C96±2.1 km/t5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°20° to 23°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±2°20° to 22°±28%48% to 76% chance
Tue±1°18° to 18°±31%45% to 76% chance
Wed±3°19° to 22°±47%4% to 51% chance
Thu±2°16° to 18°±31%10% to 41% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Warners Bay

today, local time
Sunrise
06:05
Sunset
17:39
Daylight
11h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Warners Bay today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Warners Bay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Warners Bay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Warners Bay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Warners Bay?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Warners Bay (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Warners Bay?
February is typically the warmest month in Warners Bay, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Warners Bay get?
The coldest month in Warners Bay is June, when overnight lows average about 8°C.
How much rain does Warners Bay get?
Warners Bay sees roughly 849 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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