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Katherine weather

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EuropeanECMWF
25°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 31° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 94%
AmericanNOAA GFS
26°
Overcast
Feels 30° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 77%
GermanDWD ICON
29°
Thunderstorm
Feels 33° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 77%

Latest for Katherine: European (ECMWF): 25° Heavy drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 26° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 29° Thunderstorm.

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Katherine weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Katherine swings 21°C across the year, from 37°C highs in October to 16°C lows in June, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1124 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
October
37°C average high
Coldest month
June
16°C average low
Wettest month
January
1124 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
Rarely
highs outside 16-26°C
Residents
5,980
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Katherine and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Katherine hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Katherine 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Katherine, Northern Territory is at its warmest in Oct (average highs near 37°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 16°C), with roughly 1124 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Katherine right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Katherine climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
33°
25°
Feb
33°
24°
Mar
33°
24°
Apr
34°
23°
May
31°
19°
Jun
30°
16°
Jul
28°
16°
Aug
31°
17°
Sep
36°
22°
Oct
37°
23°
Nov
36°
24°
Dec
34°
23°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Katherine's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.1°C

Around Katherine, 2015-2024 averaged 1.1°C warmer than 1995-2004. 7 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2016.

1995: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average1996: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average1997: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average1999: −1.1°C vs the 30-year average2000: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2003: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2004: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2006: −1.4°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2010: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2011: −2.3°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2013: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2014: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2016: +1.4°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2018: +1.2°C vs the 30-year average2019: +1.3°C vs the 30-year average2020: +1.4°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2022: +1.0°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 35°C

43 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004

1995: −12 vs the 30-year average1996: +27 vs the 30-year average1997: −32 vs the 30-year average1998: −17 vs the 30-year average1999: −30 vs the 30-year average2000: −25 vs the 30-year average2001: −25 vs the 30-year average2002: +17 vs the 30-year average2003: −12 vs the 30-year average2004: −19 vs the 30-year average2005: +11 vs the 30-year average2006: −19 vs the 30-year average2007: −14 vs the 30-year average2008: −21 vs the 30-year average2009: −4 vs the 30-year average2010: −31 vs the 30-year average2011: −46 vs the 30-year average2012: −7 vs the 30-year average2013: −13 vs the 30-year average2014: −21 vs the 30-year average2015: −16 vs the 30-year average2016: +28 vs the 30-year average2017: +16 vs the 30-year average2018: +58 vs the 30-year average2019: +80 vs the 30-year average2020: +78 vs the 30-year average2021: −3 vs the 30-year average2022: +52 vs the 30-year average2023: +4 vs the 30-year average2024: +1 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

+3%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −0% vs the 30-year average1996: −0% vs the 30-year average1997: −8% vs the 30-year average1998: −3% vs the 30-year average1999: −3% vs the 30-year average2000: −3% vs the 30-year average2001: −0% vs the 30-year average2002: −3% vs the 30-year average2003: −3% vs the 30-year average2004: −0% vs the 30-year average2005: −5% vs the 30-year average2006: +7% vs the 30-year average2007: −3% vs the 30-year average2008: +2% vs the 30-year average2009: −3% vs the 30-year average2010: +5% vs the 30-year average2011: +5% vs the 30-year average2012: −0% vs the 30-year average2013: −5% vs the 30-year average2014: +5% vs the 30-year average2015: +5% vs the 30-year average2016: −8% vs the 30-year average2017: −0% vs the 30-year average2018: −0% vs the 30-year average2019: +10% vs the 30-year average2020: +5% vs the 30-year average2021: −8% vs the 30-year average2022: −3% vs the 30-year average2023: +5% vs the 30-year average2024: +5% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >35°C vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.1°C−12−0%
1996+0.4°C+27−0%
1997−0.7°C−32−8%
1998+0.5°C−17−3%
1999−1.1°C−30−3%
2000−1.0°C−25−3%
2001−0.9°C−25−0%
2002+0.3°C+17−3%
2003+0.1°C−12−3%
2004−0.7°C−19−0%
2005+0.7°C+11−5%
2006−1.4°C−19+7%
2007−0.5°C−14−3%
2008−0.9°C−21+2%
2009−0.1°C−4−3%
2010−0.2°C−31+5%
2011−2.3°C−46+5%
2012−0.8°C−7−0%
2013+0.1°C−13−5%
2014−0.2°C−21+5%
2015−0.5°C−16+5%
2016+1.4°C+28−8%
2017+0.8°C+16−0%
2018+1.2°C+58−0%
2019+1.3°C+80+10%
2020+1.4°C+78+5%
2021+0.2°C−3−8%
2022+1.0°C+52−3%
2023+0.6°C+4+5%
2024+0.3°C+1+5%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Katherine, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Katherine?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
97±0.2°C96±2.2 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
86
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C94±3.0 km/h7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
78±1.2°C92±4.0 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Katherine today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Katherine today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Katherine today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Katherine and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Katherine?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Katherine (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the German at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Katherine?
October is typically the warmest month in Katherine, with average highs around 37°C.
How cold does Katherine get?
The coldest month in Katherine is June, when overnight lows average about 16°C.
How much rain does Katherine get?
Katherine sees roughly 1124 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.
Is Katherine getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Katherine, 2015-2024 averaged 1.1°C warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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