Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow
European, the American and the German model put Darwin's high today between 31° and 34°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 33°, with a 92% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.
Darwin, Northern Territory. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Darwin right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Darwin's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
Here is Darwin's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Darwin by season.
Darwin runs from warm summers, with September highs near 32°C, to cool winters, when June lows sit around 22°C (a swing of about 10°C across the year). January is usually the wettest month, and Darwin sees roughly 1765 mm of precipitation annually.
Darwin is warm year-round. Even June stays mild (lows near 22°C), so the main thing to plan around is the January wet season.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Darwin, scoring 91/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 80. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.