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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUDarwin
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Darwin weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Darwin's high today between 31° and 34°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 33°, with a 92% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

32°23°
33°23°
33°24°
33°24°
34°24°
34°23°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±4°Fridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
31°
Heavy drizzle
Today 31°·Low 23°·Rain 89%
AmericanNOAA GFS
34°
Drizzle
Today 34°·Low 23°·Rain 74%
GermanDWD ICON
32°
Partly cloudy
Today 32°·Low 25°·Rain 5%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Darwin and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
32° 23°
±3°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
33° 23°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
33° 24°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
33° 24°
±3°
Thu
Clear
34° 24°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
34° 23°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
32° 24°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
33° 24°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
32° 24°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
33° 24°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
35° 23°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
34° 24°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
33° 24°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
32° 24°
±3°

Darwin, Northern Territory. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Darwin right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Darwin's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Darwin weather by month

what to expect in Darwin through the year

Here is Darwin's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Darwin by season.

Jan
30°
26°
Hot
Wettest
Feb
30°
26°
Hot
Mar
30°
26°
Hot
Apr
31°
25°
Hot
May
31°
24°
Hot
Jun
30°
22°
Hot
Jul
30°
22°
Hot
Aug
31°
23°
Hot
Sep
32°
24°
Hot
Oct
32°
26°
Hot
Nov
32°
26°
Hot
Dec
32°
27°
Hot

What Darwin's weather is like through the year

Darwin runs from warm summers, with September highs near 32°C, to cool winters, when June lows sit around 22°C (a swing of about 10°C across the year). January is usually the wettest month, and Darwin sees roughly 1765 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Darwin

Darwin is warm year-round. Even June stays mild (lows near 22°C), so the main thing to plan around is the January wet season.

Which forecast is most accurate in Darwin?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
88±0.6°C92±3.8 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
80
/100rank #2
67±1.8°C89±5.7 km/t8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
59±2.3°C95±2.6 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Darwin, scoring 91/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 80. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°31° to 34°±84%5% to 89% chance
Tomorrow±5°31° to 36°±67%25% to 92% chance
Tue±3°32° to 35°±25%3% to 28% chance
Wed±3°32° to 36°±18%0% to 18% chance
Thu±4°32° to 36°±17%1% to 18% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Darwin

today, local time
Sunrise
06:47
Sunset
18:43
Daylight
11h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in Darwin today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Darwin today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Darwin today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Darwin and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Darwin?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Darwin (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the German at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Darwin?
September is typically the warmest month in Darwin, with average highs around 32°C.
How cold does Darwin get?
The coldest month in Darwin is June, when overnight lows average about 22°C.
How much rain does Darwin get?
Darwin sees roughly 1765 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Darwin?
Darwin is warm year-round. Even June stays mild (lows near 22°C), so the main thing to plan around is the January wet season.
Does it snow in Darwin?
Rarely - Darwin very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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