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CheckWeather AUPalmerston
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Palmerston weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Palmerston's high today between 31° and 34°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 34°, with a 80% chance of rain.

33°23°
34°23°
35°23°
34°24°
35°23°
36°23°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaysplit ±5°Fridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
31°
Heavy drizzle
Today 31°·Low 22°·Rain 95%
AmericanNOAA GFS
34°
Light drizzle
Today 34°·Low 23°·Rain 74%
GermanDWD ICON
34°
Cloudy
Today 34°·Low 24°·Rain 5%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Palmerston and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
33° 23°
±4°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
34° 23°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
35° 23°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
34° 24°
±2°
Thu
Mostly clear
35° 23°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
36° 23°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
34° 23°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
36° 23°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
36° 23°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
36° 23°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
36° 23°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
35° 23°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
36° 23°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
35° 23°
models agree

Palmerston, Northern Territory is at its warmest in Sep (average highs near 35°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 20°C), with roughly 2051 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Palmerston right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Palmerston climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
30°
26°
Feb
31°
26°
Mar
31°
25°
Apr
33°
24°
May
33°
22°
Jun
32°
20°
Jul
32°
20°
Aug
34°
21°
Sep
35°
23°
Oct
35°
25°
Nov
34°
25°
Dec
33°
26°

Which forecast is most accurate in Palmerston?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±1.3 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
92
/100rank #2
92±0.5°C96±2.2 km/t8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
85
/100rank #3
74±1.4°C97±1.6 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°31° to 34°±90%5% to 95% chance
Tomorrow±4°32° to 35°±55%25% to 80% chance
Tue±3°33° to 35°±13%3% to 16% chance
Wed±2°33° to 35°±10%0% to 10% chance
Thu±5°33° to 37°±17%1% to 18% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Palmerston

today, local time
Sunrise
06:46
Sunset
18:42
Daylight
11h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in Palmerston today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Palmerston today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Palmerston today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Palmerston and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Palmerston?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Palmerston (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the German at 92. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Palmerston?
September is typically the warmest month in Palmerston, with average highs around 35°C.
How cold does Palmerston get?
The coldest month in Palmerston is June, when overnight lows average about 20°C.
How much rain does Palmerston get?
Palmerston sees roughly 2051 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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