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CheckWeather UKChapel Allerton
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Chapel Allerton weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Chapel Allerton's high today between 21° and 23°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 18°, with a 58% chance of rain.

22°12°
18°15°
16°11°
18°11°
18°11°
19°13°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
23°
Light drizzle
Today 23°·Low 12°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Heavy drizzle
Today 21°·Low 11°·Rain 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Light drizzle
Today 23°·Low 13°·Rain 61%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Chapel Allerton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
22° 12°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
18° 15°
models agree
Tue
Rain
16° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18° 11°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
19° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
18° 10°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
19° 15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
21° 14°
±6°
Tue
Light rain
18° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
17° 11°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 10°
±9°
Fri
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
17°
±4°

Chapel Allerton, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 995 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Chapel Allerton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Chapel Allerton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
12°
May
17°
Jun
19°
10°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
18°
11°
Oct
14°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Chapel Allerton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±0.7 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
86
/100rank #2
93±0.4°C96±1.2 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #3
81±1.0°C96±1.1 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°21° to 23°±25%61% to 86% chance
Tomorrow±2°17° to 19°±49%9% to 58% chance
Tue±2°15° to 17°±30%48% to 78% chance
Wed±1°17° to 18°±10%8% to 18% chance
Thu±3°17° to 19°±2%17% to 19% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Chapel Allerton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:23
Sunset
19:45
Daylight
13h 22m

Common questions

What's the weather in Chapel Allerton today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Chapel Allerton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Chapel Allerton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Chapel Allerton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Chapel Allerton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Chapel Allerton (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Met Office at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Chapel Allerton?
June is typically the warmest month in Chapel Allerton, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Chapel Allerton get?
The coldest month in Chapel Allerton is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Chapel Allerton get?
Chapel Allerton sees roughly 995 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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