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CheckWeather UK›Dawlish
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Dawlish weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Dawlish today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 13°, with a 100% chance of rain.

16°10°
13°10°
17°9°
16°10°
16°9°
14°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
13°
Light rain
Feels 8° · Wind 25 mph · Humidity 93%
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Light rain
Feels 9° · Wind 19 mph · Humidity 93%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Light rain
Feels 6° · Wind 34 mph · Humidity 93%

Latest for Dawlish: Met Office (UKMO model): 13° Light rain · European (ECMWF): 13° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Light rain.

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Dawlish weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for South West England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for South West England…

Dawlish weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Dawlish swings 17°C across the year, from 20°C highs in July to 3°C lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 963 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 4 days a year at 25°C or above, 11 frost nights, and rain on 147 days.

Warmest month
July
20°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
December
963 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
11,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
4 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
11 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
147 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Dawlish’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Dawlish and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dawlish hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Dawlish 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
16° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13° 10°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
17° 9°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16° 9°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14° 8°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
14° 8°
models agree
Sun
Clear
12° 7°
±2°
Mon
Partly cloudy
12° 7°
±2°
Tue
Partly cloudy
12° 6°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
10° 4°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
9° 3°
±4°
Fri
Drizzle
11° 4°
±2°

Dawlish, England is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 963 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Dawlish right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Dawlish climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
9°
3°
Feb
9°
3°
Mar
10°
5°
Apr
12°
6°
May
16°
9°
Jun
19°
11°
Jul
20°
13°
Aug
20°
14°
Sep
18°
12°
Oct
15°
10°
Nov
11°
6°
Dec
9°
5°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Dawlish has changed since 1995

Dawlish sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Exeter. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Exeter page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Dawlish?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
88±0.6°C94±2.0 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
90±0.5°C90±3.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
80
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C94±1.9 mph5877% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°16° to 16°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree13° to 13°±33%67% to 100% chance
Mon±1°17° to 17°±14%86% to 100% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±39%61% to 100% chance
Wedmodels agree15° to 16°±11%0% to 11% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dawlish

today, local time
Sunrise
07:51
Sunset
18:03
Daylight
10h 12m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dawlish today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Dawlish today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 13°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Dawlish today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Dawlish on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 67% (Met Office 67%, European 86%, American 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dawlish?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dawlish (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dawlish?
July is typically the warmest month in Dawlish, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Dawlish get?
The coldest month in Dawlish is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Dawlish get?
Dawlish sees roughly 963 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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