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CheckWeather UKDawlish
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Dawlish weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in Dawlish today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 21°, with a 26% chance of rain.

21°15°
21°16°
19°13°
18°12°
19°13°
21°14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low 16°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Light drizzle
Today 22°·Low 14°·Rain 82%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Light drizzle
Today 21°·Low 15°·Rain 14%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Dawlish and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
21° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
21° 16°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
19° 13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 12°
±3°
Thu
Drizzle
19° 13°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 14°
±3°
Sat
Light rain
21° 11°
±3°
Sun
Light rain
22° 15°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
21° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
17° 11°
±3°
Thu
Drizzle
19° 11°
±7°
Fri
Light rain
20° 13°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
17° 11°
±4°

Dawlish, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1139 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Dawlish right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Dawlish climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
11°
Mar
11°
Apr
13°
May
17°
10°
Jun
20°
12°
Jul
20°
13°
Aug
20°
14°
Sep
19°
13°
Oct
16°
11°
Nov
12°
Dec
11°

Which forecast is most accurate in Dawlish?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
78±1.2°C95±1.5 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
82
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C94±1.8 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
79±1.2°C90±3.1 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°21° to 22°±68%14% to 82% chance
Tomorrow±1°20° to 22°±19%7% to 26% chance
Tue±1°19° to 20°±19%62% to 81% chance
Wed±3°17° to 20°±2%2% to 4% chance
Thumodels agree19° to 19°±11%23% to 34% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dawlish

today, local time
Sunrise
06:35
Sunset
19:48
Daylight
13h 13m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dawlish today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Dawlish today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dawlish today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Dawlish and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dawlish?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dawlish (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the Met Office at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dawlish?
June is typically the warmest month in Dawlish, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Dawlish get?
The coldest month in Dawlish is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Dawlish get?
Dawlish sees roughly 1139 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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