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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Southampton weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 24° in Southampton today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 22°, with a 18% chance of rain.

24°14°
22°17°
20°14°
19°11°
19°12°
22°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 14°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Light drizzle
Today 24°·Low 13°·Rain 61%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 15°·Rain 10%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Southampton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
24° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
22° 17°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 12°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 15°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
21° 11°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 16°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
22° 14°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 16°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
20° 13°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 12°
±7°
Fri
Drizzle
21° 14°
±4°
Sat
Partly cloudy
21° 11°
±7°

Southampton, England. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Southampton right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Southampton's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Southampton weather by month

what to expect in Southampton through the year

Here is Southampton's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Southampton by season.

Jan
Cool
Feb
11°
Cool
Mar
11°
Cool
Wettest
Apr
13°
Cool
May
17°
Mild
Jun
21°
12°
Mild
Jul
21°
13°
Mild
Aug
21°
13°
Mild
Sep
20°
12°
Mild
Oct
16°
10°
Mild
Nov
11°
Cool
Dec
10°
Cool

What Southampton's weather is like through the year

Southampton runs from warm summers, with June highs near 21°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 2°C (a swing of about 19°C across the year). March is usually the wettest month, and Southampton sees roughly 1058 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Southampton

The most comfortable time to visit Southampton is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest March rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Southampton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±0.6 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
86
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C96±1.3 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C96±1.4 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Southampton, scoring 88/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Met Office at 86. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree24° to 24°±51%10% to 61% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree22° to 23°±5%13% to 18% chance
Tue±1°20° to 20°±12%53% to 65% chance
Wed±2°19° to 20°±4%2% to 6% chance
Thu±3°17° to 20°±8%17% to 25% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Southampton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
19:40
Daylight
13h 13m

Common questions

What's the weather in Southampton today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Southampton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Southampton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Southampton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Southampton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Southampton (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the Met Office at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Southampton?
June is typically the warmest month in Southampton, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Southampton get?
The coldest month in Southampton is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Southampton get?
Southampton sees roughly 1058 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Southampton?
The most comfortable time to visit Southampton is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest March rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Southampton?
Rarely - Southampton very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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