Skip to main content
Every UK forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather UKChristchurch
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Christchurch weather

Loading live data…

Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in Christchurch today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 21°, with a 12% chance of rain.

21°14°
21°17°
20°13°
19°11°
18°13°
22°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
18°
Partly cloudy
Feels 19° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 82%
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Partly cloudy
Feels 19° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 84%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Overcast
Feels 17° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 81%

Latest for Christchurch: Met Office (UKMO model): 18° Partly cloudy · European (ECMWF): 18° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 17° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Christchurch and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
21° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
21° 17°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
20° 13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
18° 13°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 15°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
19° 11°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
21° 16°
±2°
Mon
Cloudy
20° 14°
±4°
Tue
Drizzle
20° 15°
±6°
Wed
Drizzle
19° 12°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 12°
±7°
Fri
Drizzle
21° 14°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
19° 12°
±7°

Christchurch, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1061 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Christchurch right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Christchurch climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
11°
Apr
13°
May
17°
10°
Jun
20°
12°
Jul
20°
14°
Aug
21°
14°
Sep
20°
13°
Oct
16°
11°
Nov
12°
Dec
11°

Which forecast is most accurate in Christchurch?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
Met Office logo
Met Office ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C96±1.1 mph8994% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C88±3.6 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
84
/100rank #3
66±1.9°C96±1.2 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°20° to 22°±55%6% to 61% chance
Tomorrow±2°20° to 22°±6%6% to 12% chance
Tuemodels agree20° to 20°±10%61% to 71% chance
Wed±1°19° to 19°±4%2% to 6% chance
Thu±3°17° to 20°±6%19% to 25% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Christchurch

today, local time
Sunrise
06:28
Sunset
19:42
Daylight
13h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Christchurch today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Christchurch today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Christchurch today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Christchurch and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Christchurch?
Over the last 30 days, the Met Office model has been the most accurate for Christchurch (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Christchurch?
August is typically the warmest month in Christchurch, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Christchurch get?
The coldest month in Christchurch is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Christchurch get?
Christchurch sees roughly 1061 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More UK weather