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CheckWeather UKNew Milton
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

New Milton weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put New Milton's high today between 20° and 23°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 21°, with a 12% chance of rain.

21°13°
21°16°
19°13°
19°11°
18°12°
21°14°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 11°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Drizzle
Today 20°·Low 15°·Rain 61%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 13°·Rain 6%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around New Milton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
21° 13°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
21° 16°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
19° 13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
18° 12°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 14°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
19° 11°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
21° 16°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
20° 14°
±3°
Tue
Drizzle
20° 15°
±6°
Wed
Drizzle
19° 12°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 12°
±6°
Fri
Drizzle
20° 13°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
19° 12°
±7°

New Milton, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1098 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for New Milton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

New Milton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
17°
10°
Jun
20°
12°
Jul
20°
14°
Aug
20°
14°
Sep
20°
13°
Oct
16°
11°
Nov
12°
Dec
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in New Milton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C93±2.1 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
88
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C95±1.6 mph8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
European logo
European
87
/100rank #3
68±1.8°C98±0.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°20° to 23°±55%6% to 61% chance
Tomorrow±2°20° to 22°±6%6% to 12% chance
Tuemodels agree19° to 20°±10%61% to 71% chance
Wed±1°18° to 19°±4%2% to 6% chance
Thu±3°17° to 20°±6%19% to 25% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in New Milton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:28
Sunset
19:41
Daylight
13h 13m

Common questions

What's the weather in New Milton today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for New Milton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in New Milton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for New Milton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for New Milton?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for New Milton (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the Met Office at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in New Milton?
June is typically the warmest month in New Milton, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does New Milton get?
The coldest month in New Milton is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does New Milton get?
New Milton sees roughly 1098 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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