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CheckWeather UKFerndown
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Ferndown weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 23° in Ferndown today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 22°, with a 13% chance of rain.

23°12°
22°16°
20°13°
19°11°
18°11°
22°14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±4°
Met OfficeUKMO model
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 10°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Light drizzle
Today 22°·Low 14°·Rain 75%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Light drizzle
Today 22°·Low 13°·Rain 6%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Ferndown and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
23° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
22° 16°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
20° 13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
18° 11°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
21° 10°
±4°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
21° 13°
±3°
Tue
Drizzle
21° 14°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
19° 11°
±5°
Thu
Drizzle
21° 11°
±8°
Fri
Drizzle
21° 13°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
19° 12°
±7°

Ferndown, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1086 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Ferndown right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Ferndown climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
11°
Mar
11°
Apr
13°
May
17°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
20°
13°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
20°
12°
Oct
16°
10°
Nov
12°
Dec
11°

Which forecast is most accurate in Ferndown?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C99±0.5 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
87
/100rank #2
90±0.5°C96±1.4 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C88±3.9 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°22° to 23°±69%6% to 75% chance
Tomorrow±1°22° to 22°±10%3% to 13% chance
Tue±1°19° to 20°±9%61% to 70% chance
Wed±2°18° to 20°±5%2% to 7% chance
Thu±3°17° to 20°±13%19% to 32% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ferndown

today, local time
Sunrise
06:29
Sunset
19:42
Daylight
13h 13m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ferndown today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Ferndown today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ferndown today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Ferndown and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ferndown?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ferndown (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Met Office at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ferndown?
June is typically the warmest month in Ferndown, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Ferndown get?
The coldest month in Ferndown is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Ferndown get?
Ferndown sees roughly 1086 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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