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Leiston weather

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Leiston weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for East of England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for East of England…

Leiston weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Leiston swings 19°C across the year, from 21°C highs in August to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 632 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 7 days a year at 25°C or above, 18 frost nights, and rain on 131 days.

Warmest month
August
21°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
632 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
6,495
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
7 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
18 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
131 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Leiston’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Leiston and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Leiston hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Leiston 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Leiston, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 632 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Leiston right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Leiston climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
2°
Feb
8°
2°
Mar
9°
4°
Apr
11°
5°
May
15°
8°
Jun
18°
11°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
18°
11°
Oct
15°
9°
Nov
10°
5°
Dec
9°
4°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Leiston's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.8°C

Around Leiston, 2015-2024 averaged 0.8°C warmer than 1995-2004. 7 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2022.

1995: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average1996: −1.7°C vs the 30-year average1997: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average1998: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average1999: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2004: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2005: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2007: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2010: −1.4°C vs the 30-year average2011: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2013: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2015: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2018: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2021: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2022: +1.1°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Average wind

no clear change

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +3% vs the 30-year average1996: +0% vs the 30-year average1997: −4% vs the 30-year average1998: +6% vs the 30-year average1999: +3% vs the 30-year average2000: +3% vs the 30-year average2001: −1% vs the 30-year average2002: +2% vs the 30-year average2003: −7% vs the 30-year average2004: −3% vs the 30-year average2005: −3% vs the 30-year average2006: +0% vs the 30-year average2007: +3% vs the 30-year average2008: +6% vs the 30-year average2009: −3% vs the 30-year average2010: −7% vs the 30-year average2011: +0% vs the 30-year average2012: −1% vs the 30-year average2013: +0% vs the 30-year average2014: +0% vs the 30-year average2015: +6% vs the 30-year average2016: −1% vs the 30-year average2017: −1% vs the 30-year average2018: −3% vs the 30-year average2019: −1% vs the 30-year average2020: +7% vs the 30-year average2021: −1% vs the 30-year average2022: −3% vs the 30-year average2023: +2% vs the 30-year average2024: +0% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageWind vs avg
1995−0.2°C+3%
1996−1.7°C+0%
1997−0.3°C−4%
1998−0.4°C+6%
1999±0.0°C+3%
2000−0.3°C+3%
2001−0.5°C−1%
2002+0.2°C+2%
2003−0.1°C−7%
2004−0.2°C−3%
2005−0.4°C−3%
2006+0.1°C+0%
2007+0.4°C+3%
2008−0.1°C+6%
2009−0.1°C−3%
2010−1.4°C−7%
2011±0.0°C+0%
2012−0.6°C−1%
2013−1.0°C+0%
2014+0.9°C+0%
2015+0.1°C+6%
2016+0.3°C−1%
2017+0.2°C−1%
2018±0.0°C−3%
2019+0.4°C−1%
2020+0.6°C+7%
2021−0.2°C−1%
2022+1.1°C−3%
2023+0.8°C+2%
2024+0.9°C+0%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Leiston, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Leiston?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
98±0.1°C98±0.6 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C95±1.6 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
86
/100rank #3
92±0.5°C97±1.1 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Leiston today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Leiston today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Leiston today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Leiston and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Leiston?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Leiston (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Leiston?
August is typically the warmest month in Leiston, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Leiston get?
The coldest month in Leiston is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Leiston get?
Leiston sees roughly 632 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
Is Leiston getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Leiston, 2015-2024 averaged 0.8°C warmer than 1995-2004.

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