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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Newport weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in Newport today. Tomorrow looks rain around 19°, with a 100% chance of rain.

21°17°
19°14°
19°12°
18°12°
21°16°
20°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agreeSaturdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 17°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low 18°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Light drizzle
Today 21°·Low 18°·Rain 19%

Newport weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Newport swings 16°C across the year, from 20°C highs in June to 4°C lows in January, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 984 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
June
20°C average high
Coldest month
January
4°C average low
Wettest month
March
984 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
25,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Newport and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
21° 17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
19° 14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19° 12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18° 12°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
21° 16°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
20° 13°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 17°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
20° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20° 14°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
18° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
18° 13°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
18° 13°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
19° 14°
models agree

Newport, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 4°C), with roughly 984 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Newport right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Newport climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
16°
10°
Jun
20°
13°
Jul
20°
14°
Aug
20°
15°
Sep
19°
14°
Oct
16°
12°
Nov
12°
Dec
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in the UK?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C97±1.0 mph8793% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
85
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C96±1.3 mph7385% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C93±2.3 mph7385% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°21° to 22°±15%4% to 19% chance
Tomorrow±2°18° to 20°±2%98% to 100% chance
Wed±1°19° to 20°±3%0% to 3% chance
Thu±2°18° to 19°±31%10% to 41% chance
Fri±2°20° to 22°±14%39% to 53% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Newport

today, local time
Sunrise
06:28
Sunset
19:37
Daylight
13h 9m

Common questions

What's the weather in Newport today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Newport today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Newport today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Newport and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Newport?
No single model is always right. Met Office, European, American each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Newport forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested UK accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Newport?
June is typically the warmest month in Newport, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Newport get?
The coldest month in Newport is January, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Newport get?
Newport sees roughly 984 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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