Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow
Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 19° in Edinburgh today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 17°, with a 88% chance of rain.
Edinburgh, Scotland. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Edinburgh right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Edinburgh's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.
Here is Edinburgh's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Edinburgh by season.
Edinburgh runs from warm summers, with July highs near 18°C, to cool winters, when January lows sit around 3°C (a swing of about 15°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Edinburgh sees roughly 1114 mm of precipitation annually.
The most comfortable time to visit Edinburgh is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the Met Office model has been the most accurate forecast for Edinburgh, scoring 86/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the European at 83. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.