Cardiff weather
Loading live data…Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow
Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 24° in Cardiff today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 19°, with a 81% chance of rain.
The weather map: all three models at once
Met Office, European, American side by side around Cardiff and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Next 14 hours
consensus of the three models14-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitCardiff, Wales. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Cardiff right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Cardiff's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.
Cardiff weather by month
what to expect in Cardiff through the yearHere is Cardiff's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Cardiff by season.
What Cardiff's weather is like through the year
Cardiff runs from warm summers, with June highs near 20°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 2°C (a swing of about 18°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Cardiff sees roughly 1510 mm of precipitation annually.
Best time to visit Cardiff
The most comfortable time to visit Cardiff is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
Which forecast is most accurate in Cardiff?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Cardiff, scoring 96/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 83. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.