Skip to main content
Every US forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USNew York City
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

New York City weather

Loading live data…

Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 79° in New York City today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 75°, with a 51% chance of rain.

79°68°
75°65°
78°61°
81°65°
84°69°
81°73°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Partly cloudy
Today 78°·Low 71°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
80°
Cloudy
Today 80°·Low 67°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Light drizzle
Today 78°·Low 68°·Rain 8%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around New York City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
79° 68°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
75° 65°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
78° 61°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
81° 65°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
84° 69°
±5°
Thu
Partly cloudy
81° 73°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
79° 67°
±10°
Sat
Mostly clear
78° 65°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
79° 70°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
82° 71°
±10°
Tue
Drizzle
76° 67°
±14°
Wed
Light drizzle
74° 62°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
75° 61°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
72° 61°
±5°

New York City, NY. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for New York City right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down New York City's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

New York City weather by month

what to expect in New York City through the year

Here is New York City's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to New York City by season.

Jan
44°
31°
Cool
Feb
46°
29°
Cool
Mar
52°
35°
Cool
Wettest
Apr
63°
44°
Mild
May
71°
53°
Mild
Jun
81°
62°
Warm
Jul
87°
69°
Hot
Aug
83°
66°
Warm
Sep
77°
60°
Warm
Oct
69°
50°
Mild
Nov
55°
39°
Cool
Dec
45°
31°
Cool

What New York City's weather is like through the year

New York City runs from warm summers, with July highs near 87°F, to cold winters, when February lows sit around 29°F (a swing of about 58°F across the year). March is usually the wettest month, and New York City sees roughly 55 inches of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 3 months (January, February and December), so New York City sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit New York City

The most comfortable time to visit New York City is usually April, May, September and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest March rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in New York City?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±1.0 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F92±2.4 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for New York City, scoring 89/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 76. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°78° to 80°±6%2% to 8% chance
Tomorrow±4°73° to 77°±43%8% to 51% chance
Mon±1°77° to 79°±8%0% to 8% chance
Tue±3°80° to 82°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±5°82° to 87°±5%5% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in New York City

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
19:22
Daylight
12h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in New York City today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for New York City today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in New York City today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for New York City and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for New York City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for New York City (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in New York City?
July is typically the warmest month in New York City, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does New York City get?
The coldest month in New York City is February, when overnight lows average about 29°F.
How much rain does New York City get?
New York City sees roughly 55 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit New York City?
The most comfortable time to visit New York City is usually April, May, September and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest March rain is behind you.
Does it snow in New York City?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 3 months (January, February and December) in New York City, so winter snowfall is common.

Nearby

More US weather