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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Financial District weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 78° in Financial District today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 74°, with a 51% chance of rain.

78°67°
74°64°
77°60°
80°64°
83°68°
80°72°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Partly cloudy
Today 77°·Low 70°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
79°
Cloudy
Today 79°·Low 66°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
77°
Light drizzle
Today 77°·Low 67°·Rain 8%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Financial District and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
78° 67°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
74° 64°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
77° 60°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
80° 64°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
83° 68°
±5°
Thu
Partly cloudy
80° 72°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
78° 66°
±10°
Sat
Mostly clear
77° 64°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
78° 69°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
81° 70°
±10°
Tue
Drizzle
75° 66°
±14°
Wed
Light drizzle
73° 62°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
74° 60°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
71° 60°
±5°

Financial District, NY is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 28°F), with roughly 55 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Financial District right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Financial District climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
43°
29°
Feb
44°
28°
Mar
50°
33°
Apr
61°
43°
May
70°
51°
Jun
80°
61°
Jul
85°
68°
Aug
81°
64°
Sep
75°
58°
Oct
67°
48°
Nov
54°
37°
Dec
44°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Financial District?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±1.0 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F92±2.4 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°77° to 79°±6%2% to 8% chance
Tomorrow±4°72° to 76°±43%8% to 51% chance
Mon±1°76° to 78°±8%0% to 8% chance
Tue±3°79° to 81°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±5°81° to 86°±5%5% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Financial District

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
19:22
Daylight
12h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in Financial District today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Financial District today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Financial District today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Financial District and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Financial District?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Financial District (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Financial District?
July is typically the warmest month in Financial District, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Financial District get?
The coldest month in Financial District is February, when overnight lows average about 28°F.
How much rain does Financial District get?
Financial District sees roughly 55 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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