New York State weather today

We follow 510 towns and cities in New York State, each with NWS, American, European side by side and the days they disagree flagged. Today the three models put highs between 60°F in Rochester and 71°F in New York City, and no model gives a 50% or higher chance of rain in any of the 79 places we hold today's forecast for.

Numbers from the forecast run of Saturday, October 3. Open any town for the live, hour-by-hour comparison.

Which forecast is most accurate in New York State?

Over the last 30 days we graded the models in 146 New York State cities against the recorded weather. The European model was most accurate in 143, the American in 3 of them. No model wins everywhere, which is why each city page names its own winner.

How we grade: the US accuracy scoreboard and our method.

New York State climate, city by city

Across the 311 New York State places we hold long-run averages for, typical July highs run from 76°F in North Elba to 87°F in Battery Park City, and January highs from 29°F in North Elba to 45°F in Downtown Brooklyn. Rome is the wettest at about 59 in of precipitation a year, Hornell the driest at about 39 in.

Averages from ERA5 reanalysis, the same source as the climate tables on each city page.