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Central Islip weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
49°
Partly cloudy
Feels 46° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 83%
AmericanNOAA GFS
45°
Partly cloudy
Feels 42° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 88%
EuropeanECMWF
47°
Overcast
Feels 43° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 73%

Latest for Central Islip: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 49° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 45° Partly cloudy · European (ECMWF): 47° Overcast.

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Central Islip weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Central Islip weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Central Islip swings 56°F across the year, from 81°F highs in July to 25°F lows in February, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 49 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 83 days a year at 77°F or above, 19 of them at 86°F or above, 76 frost nights, and rain on 131 days.

Warmest month
July
81°F average high
Coldest month
February
25°F average low
Wettest month
April
49 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
34,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
83 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
76 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
131 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Central Islip’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Central Islip and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Central Islip hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Central Islip 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Central Islip, New York (NY) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 25°F), with roughly 49 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Central Islip right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Central Islip climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
39°
26°
Feb
41°
25°
Mar
47°
31°
Apr
58°
40°
May
67°
49°
Jun
77°
60°
Jul
81°
67°
Aug
80°
65°
Sep
74°
59°
Oct
64°
47°
Nov
52°
38°
Dec
43°
31°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Central Islip has changed since 1995

Central Islip sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Bridgeport. That square ran 1.7°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Bridgeport page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Central Islip?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F97±1.0 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F92±2.6 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Central Islip today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Central Islip today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Central Islip today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Central Islip and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Central Islip?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Central Islip (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Central Islip?
July is typically the warmest month in Central Islip, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Central Islip get?
The coldest month in Central Islip is February, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Central Islip get?
Central Islip sees roughly 49 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

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