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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Brentwood weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 78° in Brentwood today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 71°, with a 90% chance of rain.

78°66°
71°62°
76°59°
81°63°
80°68°
84°70°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Heavy drizzle
Today 78°·Low 65°·Rain 7%
AmericanNOAA GFS
80°
Cloudy
Today 80°·Low 66°·Rain 7%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Light drizzle
Today 78°·Low 67°·Rain 53%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Brentwood and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
78° 66°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
71° 62°
models agree
Mon
Clear
76° 59°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
81° 63°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
80° 68°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
84° 70°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
79° 66°
±10°
Sat
Mostly clear
78° 64°
±10°
Sun
Partly cloudy
80° 67°
±8°
Mon
Drizzle
83° 70°
±16°
Tue
Drizzle
79° 66°
±21°
Wed
Cloudy
77° 64°
±14°
Thu
Cloudy
73° 63°
models agree
Fri
Light rain
70° 60°
±9°

Brentwood, NY is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 29°F), with roughly 56 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Brentwood right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Brentwood climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
44°
31°
Feb
45°
29°
Mar
51°
35°
Apr
61°
43°
May
69°
51°
Jun
78°
61°
Jul
83°
69°
Aug
80°
65°
Sep
75°
60°
Oct
67°
50°
Nov
54°
40°
Dec
45°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in Brentwood?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F97±1.1 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
68
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F90±3.0 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°78° to 80°±46%7% to 53% chance
Tomorrow±2°70° to 73°±71%19% to 90% chance
Mon±2°76° to 77°±8%0% to 8% chance
Tue±4°80° to 83°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°79° to 82°±4%6% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Brentwood

today, local time
Sunrise
06:24
Sunset
19:19
Daylight
12h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in Brentwood today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Brentwood today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Brentwood today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Brentwood and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Brentwood?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Brentwood (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 68. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Brentwood?
July is typically the warmest month in Brentwood, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Brentwood get?
The coldest month in Brentwood is February, when overnight lows average about 29°F.
How much rain does Brentwood get?
Brentwood sees roughly 56 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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