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CheckWeather US›New York State›Manhattan Valley

Manhattan Valley weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
45°
Mainly clear
Feels 41° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 75%
AmericanNOAA GFS
40°
Clear
Feels 35° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 72%
EuropeanECMWF
42°
Overcast
Feels 37° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 84%

Latest for Manhattan Valley: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 45° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 40° Clear · European (ECMWF): 42° Overcast.

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Manhattan Valley weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Manhattan Valley…

Manhattan Valley weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Manhattan Valley swings 60°F across the year, from 84°F highs in July to 24°F lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 49 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 100 days a year at 77°F or above, 33 of them at 86°F or above, 82 frost nights, and rain on 130 days.

Warmest month
July
84°F average high
Coldest month
February
24°F average low
Wettest month
July
49 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
May, September and October
Residents
39,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
100 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
82 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
130 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Manhattan Valley’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Manhattan Valley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Manhattan Valley hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Manhattan Valley 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Manhattan Valley, New York (NY) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 24°F), with roughly 49 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Manhattan Valley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Manhattan Valley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
38°
25°
Feb
40°
24°
Mar
48°
32°
Apr
59°
41°
May
70°
52°
Jun
80°
61°
Jul
84°
67°
Aug
83°
67°
Sep
75°
59°
Oct
65°
47°
Nov
54°
38°
Dec
42°
29°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Manhattan Valley has changed since 1995

Manhattan Valley sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Manhattan. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Manhattan page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Manhattan Valley?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F98±0.7 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F92±2.6 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Manhattan Valley today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Manhattan Valley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Manhattan Valley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Manhattan Valley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Manhattan Valley?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Manhattan Valley (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Manhattan Valley?
July is typically the warmest month in Manhattan Valley, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Manhattan Valley get?
The coldest month in Manhattan Valley is February, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Manhattan Valley get?
Manhattan Valley sees roughly 49 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

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