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CheckWeather USHarlem
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Harlem weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 79° in Harlem today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 76°, with a 51% chance of rain.

79°68°
76°64°
79°60°
84°64°
86°69°
83°72°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
80°
Partly cloudy
Today 80°·Low 68°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
80°
Cloudy
Today 80°·Low 69°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
79°
Light drizzle
Today 79°·Low 68°·Rain 8%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Harlem and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
79° 68°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
76° 64°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
79° 60°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
84° 64°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
86° 69°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
83° 72°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
81° 67°
±11°
Sat
Mostly clear
80° 65°
±8°
Sun
Partly cloudy
83° 69°
±8°
Mon
Drizzle
86° 71°
±17°
Tue
Drizzle
81° 67°
±24°
Wed
Drizzle
75° 63°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
76° 61°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
72° 62°
±5°

Harlem, NY is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 29°F), with roughly 55 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Harlem right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Harlem climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
44°
30°
Feb
45°
29°
Mar
51°
35°
Apr
62°
44°
May
71°
52°
Jun
81°
62°
Jul
86°
69°
Aug
82°
65°
Sep
76°
60°
Oct
68°
49°
Nov
55°
39°
Dec
45°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in Harlem?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F96±1.2 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
65
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F90±3.0 mph2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°79° to 80°±7%1% to 8% chance
Tomorrow±3°74° to 77°±41%10% to 51% chance
Mon±1°78° to 79°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±4°82° to 86°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±3°85° to 87°±2%8% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Harlem

today, local time
Sunrise
06:26
Sunset
19:21
Daylight
12h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in Harlem today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Harlem today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Harlem today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Harlem and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Harlem?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Harlem (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 65. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Harlem?
July is typically the warmest month in Harlem, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Harlem get?
The coldest month in Harlem is February, when overnight lows average about 29°F.
How much rain does Harlem get?
Harlem sees roughly 55 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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