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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

West Seneca weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 62° in West Seneca today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 62°, with a 0% chance of rain.

62°38°
62°40°
63°47°
52°37°
61°35°
66°47°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
45°
Clear
Feels 41° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 76%
AmericanNOAA GFS
40°
Clear
Feels 35° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 80%
EuropeanECMWF
48°
Clear
Feels 42° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 64%

Latest for West Seneca: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 45° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 40° Clear · European (ECMWF): 48° Clear.

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West Seneca weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering West Seneca…

West Seneca weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

West Seneca swings 57°F across the year, from 77°F highs in July to 20°F lows in February, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 44 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 68 days a year at 77°F or above, 7 of them at 86°F or above, 108 frost nights, and rain on 165 days.

Warmest month
July
77°F average high
Coldest month
February
20°F average low
Wettest month
November
44 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
45,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
86/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
68 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
108 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
165 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for West Seneca’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around West Seneca and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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West Seneca hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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West Seneca 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
62° 38°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
62° 40°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
63° 47°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
52° 37°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
61° 35°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
66° 47°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
62° 48°
±9°
Sat
Cloudy
64° 46°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
67° 49°
±12°
Mon
Drizzle
60° 46°
±8°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
51° 38°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
45° 36°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
51° 38°
±7°

West Seneca, New York (NY) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 77°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 20°F), with roughly 44 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for West Seneca right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

West Seneca climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
31°
22°
Feb
35°
20°
Mar
42°
27°
Apr
54°
36°
May
66°
48°
Jun
73°
57°
Jul
77°
63°
Aug
76°
62°
Sep
71°
55°
Oct
57°
45°
Nov
47°
36°
Dec
37°
27°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around West Seneca has changed since 1995

West Seneca sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Buffalo. That square ran 2.0°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Buffalo page.

Which forecast is most accurate in West Seneca?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±0.9 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F96±1.3 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°61° to 64°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°62° to 63°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°62° to 65°±17%1% to 18% chance
Tue±2°51° to 53°±1%1% to 2% chance
Wed±2°60° to 61°±5%1% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in West Seneca

today, local time
Sunrise
07:39
Sunset
18:18
Daylight
10h 39m

Common questions

What's the weather in West Seneca today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 62° in West Seneca today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 62°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in West Seneca today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in West Seneca on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for West Seneca?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for West Seneca (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in West Seneca?
July is typically the warmest month in West Seneca, with average highs around 77°F.
How cold does West Seneca get?
The coldest month in West Seneca is February, when overnight lows average about 20°F.
How much rain does West Seneca get?
West Seneca sees roughly 44 in of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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