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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Irondequoit weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 73° in Irondequoit today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 69°, with a 51% chance of rain.

73°62°
69°59°
72°55°
75°58°
76°66°
75°63°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±10°Thursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
72°
Mostly clear
Today 72°·Low 63°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Mostly clear
Today 74°·Low 61°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
72°
Partly cloudy
Today 72°·Low 64°·Rain 18%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Irondequoit and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
73° 62°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
69° 59°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
72° 55°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
75° 58°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
76° 66°
±10°
Thu
Light drizzle
75° 63°
±5°
Fri
Partly cloudy
69° 58°
±7°
Sat
Partly cloudy
78° 57°
±14°
Sun
Light drizzle
83° 64°
±12°
Mon
Drizzle
73° 61°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
69° 60°
±7°
Wed
Light drizzle
68° 58°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
68° 56°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
67° 56°
models agree

Irondequoit, NY is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 25°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Irondequoit right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Irondequoit climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
36°
27°
Feb
41°
25°
Mar
44°
30°
Apr
57°
39°
May
67°
49°
Jun
75°
59°
Jul
81°
64°
Aug
77°
62°
Sep
74°
58°
Oct
62°
48°
Nov
49°
37°
Dec
40°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Irondequoit?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±0.8 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
71
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F96±1.3 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°72° to 74°±17%1% to 18% chance
Tomorrow±3°67° to 70°±48%3% to 51% chance
Mon±1°72° to 73°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±4°73° to 77°±1%1% to 2% chance
Wed±10°72° to 82°±19%52% to 71% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Irondequoit

today, local time
Sunrise
06:39
Sunset
19:38
Daylight
12h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Irondequoit today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Irondequoit today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Irondequoit today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Irondequoit and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Irondequoit?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Irondequoit (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 71. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Irondequoit?
July is typically the warmest month in Irondequoit, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Irondequoit get?
The coldest month in Irondequoit is February, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Irondequoit get?
Irondequoit sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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