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Van Nest weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
45°
Mainly clear
Feels 40° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 78%
AmericanNOAA GFS
40°
Clear
Feels 34° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 68%
EuropeanECMWF
44°
Overcast
Feels 39° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 73%

Latest for Van Nest: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 45° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 40° Clear · European (ECMWF): 44° Overcast.

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Van Nest weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Van Nest…

Van Nest weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Van Nest swings 59°F across the year, from 83°F highs in July to 24°F lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 48 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 99 days a year at 77°F or above, 32 of them at 86°F or above, 83 frost nights, and rain on 130 days.

Warmest month
July
83°F average high
Coldest month
February
24°F average low
Wettest month
July
48 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
May, September and October
Residents
24,000
share this forecast
Warm days
99 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
83 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
130 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Van Nest’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Van Nest and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Van Nest hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Van Nest 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Van Nest, New York (NY) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 24°F), with roughly 48 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Van Nest right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Van Nest climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
38°
25°
Feb
40°
24°
Mar
48°
32°
Apr
59°
41°
May
70°
51°
Jun
79°
61°
Jul
83°
67°
Aug
83°
67°
Sep
75°
59°
Oct
65°
47°
Nov
54°
38°
Dec
42°
30°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Van Nest has changed since 1995

Van Nest sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Manhattan. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Manhattan page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Van Nest today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Van Nest today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Van Nest today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Van Nest and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Van Nest?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Van Nest forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Van Nest?
July is typically the warmest month in Van Nest, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Van Nest get?
The coldest month in Van Nest is February, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Van Nest get?
Van Nest sees roughly 48 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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