Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow
NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 79° in The Bronx today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 75°, with a 78% chance of rain.
The Bronx, NY. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for The Bronx right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down The Bronx's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.
Here is The Bronx's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to The Bronx by season.
The Bronx runs from warm summers, with July highs near 85°F, to cold winters, when February lows sit around 29°F (a swing of about 56°F across the year). March is usually the wettest month, and The Bronx sees roughly 53 inches of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 2 months (January and February), so The Bronx sees regular winter snowfall.
The most comfortable time to visit The Bronx is usually April, May, September and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest March rain is behind you.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for The Bronx, scoring 88/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 72. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.