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CheckWeather USThe Bronx
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

The Bronx weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 79° in The Bronx today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 75°, with a 78% chance of rain.

79°68°
75°63°
79°60°
84°64°
84°69°
82°72°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
79°
Partly cloudy
Today 79°·Low 67°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
80°
Cloudy
Today 80°·Low 69°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
79°
Cloudy
Today 79°·Low 68°·Rain 10%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around The Bronx and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
79° 68°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
75° 63°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
79° 60°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
84° 64°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
84° 69°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
82° 72°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
80° 67°
±11°
Sat
Mostly clear
80° 65°
±8°
Sun
Partly cloudy
81° 69°
±8°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
85° 71°
±16°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
79° 67°
±22°
Wed
Light drizzle
75° 63°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
74° 61°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
72° 61°
±5°

The Bronx, NY. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for The Bronx right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down The Bronx's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

The Bronx weather by month

what to expect in The Bronx through the year

Here is The Bronx's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to The Bronx by season.

Jan
44°
31°
Cool
Feb
45°
29°
Cool
Mar
51°
35°
Cool
Wettest
Apr
62°
44°
Mild
May
71°
52°
Mild
Jun
80°
62°
Warm
Jul
85°
69°
Hot
Aug
82°
66°
Warm
Sep
76°
60°
Warm
Oct
68°
50°
Mild
Nov
55°
39°
Cool
Dec
45°
33°
Cool

What The Bronx's weather is like through the year

The Bronx runs from warm summers, with July highs near 85°F, to cold winters, when February lows sit around 29°F (a swing of about 56°F across the year). March is usually the wettest month, and The Bronx sees roughly 53 inches of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 2 months (January and February), so The Bronx sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit The Bronx

The most comfortable time to visit The Bronx is usually April, May, September and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest March rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in The Bronx?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F96±1.2 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F93±2.2 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for The Bronx, scoring 88/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 72. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°79° to 80°±9%1% to 10% chance
Tomorrow±3°73° to 76°±62%16% to 78% chance
Mon±1°78° to 79°±8%0% to 8% chance
Tue±4°82° to 86°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±2°83° to 85°±2%10% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in The Bronx

today, local time
Sunrise
06:26
Sunset
19:21
Daylight
12h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in The Bronx today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for The Bronx today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in The Bronx today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for The Bronx and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for The Bronx?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for The Bronx (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in The Bronx?
July is typically the warmest month in The Bronx, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does The Bronx get?
The coldest month in The Bronx is February, when overnight lows average about 29°F.
How much rain does The Bronx get?
The Bronx sees roughly 53 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit The Bronx?
The most comfortable time to visit The Bronx is usually April, May, September and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest March rain is behind you.
Does it snow in The Bronx?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 2 months (January and February) in The Bronx, so winter snowfall is common.

Nearby

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