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CheckWeather USUtica
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Utica weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 75° in Utica today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 74°, with a 31% chance of rain.

75°58°
74°58°
75°53°
75°56°
75°64°
74°61°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±9°Thursdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
75°
Partly cloudy
Today 75°·Low 57°·Rain 9%
AmericanNOAA GFS
75°
Cloudy
Today 75°·Low 57°·Rain 9%
EuropeanECMWF
74°
Light drizzle
Today 74°·Low 60°·Rain 86%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Utica and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
75° 58°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
74° 58°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
75° 53°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
75° 56°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
75° 64°
±9°
Thu
Drizzle
74° 61°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
69° 56°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
76° 54°
±10°
Sun
Light drizzle
80° 62°
±8°
Mon
Drizzle
73° 61°
±6°
Tue
Light drizzle
73° 58°
±16°
Wed
Showers
70° 53°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
69° 51°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
70° 53°
models agree

Utica, NY is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 20°F), with roughly 57 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Utica right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Utica climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
35°
23°
Feb
40°
20°
Mar
44°
25°
Apr
58°
37°
May
70°
47°
Jun
76°
56°
Jul
81°
62°
Aug
76°
58°
Sep
73°
53°
Oct
62°
44°
Nov
47°
32°
Dec
37°
26°

Which forecast is most accurate in Utica?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
80
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F96±1.2 mph5374% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
65
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F96±1.1 mph1855% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°74° to 75°±77%9% to 86% chance
Tomorrow±3°72° to 76°±28%3% to 31% chance
Mon±3°73° to 76°±12%0% to 12% chance
Tue±2°75° to 76°±15%1% to 16% chance
Wed±9°69° to 79°±6%76% to 82% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Utica

today, local time
Sunrise
06:30
Sunset
19:29
Daylight
12h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Utica today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Utica today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Utica today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Utica and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Utica?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Utica (CheckWeather Score 80/100), ahead of the American at 65. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Utica?
July is typically the warmest month in Utica, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Utica get?
The coldest month in Utica is February, when overnight lows average about 20°F.
How much rain does Utica get?
Utica sees roughly 57 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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