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CheckWeather USNiagara Falls
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Niagara Falls weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 74° in Niagara Falls today. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 72°, with a 43% chance of rain.

74°61°
72°60°
74°54°
77°57°
76°67°
74°62°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
73°
Partly cloudy
Today 73°·Low 60°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
76°
Mostly clear
Today 76°·Low 60°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
74°
Mostly clear
Today 74°·Low 63°·Rain 12%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Niagara Falls and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
74° 61°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
72° 60°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
74° 54°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
77° 57°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
76° 67°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
74° 62°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
71° 56°
±8°
Sat
Partly cloudy
77° 58°
±11°
Sun
Light drizzle
80° 65°
±9°
Mon
Drizzle
74° 61°
±9°
Tue
Light drizzle
70° 60°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
67° 56°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
69° 56°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
69° 54°
models agree

Niagara Falls, NY is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 25°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Niagara Falls right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Niagara Falls climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
36°
26°
Feb
41°
25°
Mar
45°
30°
Apr
58°
39°
May
69°
49°
Jun
76°
59°
Jul
81°
65°
Aug
77°
62°
Sep
74°
58°
Oct
61°
48°
Nov
48°
36°
Dec
40°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Niagara Falls?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F98±0.7 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F95±1.5 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°73° to 76°±10%2% to 12% chance
Tomorrow±1°71° to 72°±42%1% to 43% chance
Mon±1°73° to 74°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±2°76° to 78°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±6°72° to 78°±23%44% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Niagara Falls

today, local time
Sunrise
06:45
Sunset
19:44
Daylight
12h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Niagara Falls today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Niagara Falls today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Niagara Falls today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Niagara Falls and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Niagara Falls?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Niagara Falls (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Niagara Falls?
July is typically the warmest month in Niagara Falls, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Niagara Falls get?
The coldest month in Niagara Falls is February, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Niagara Falls get?
Niagara Falls sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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