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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Bayside weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 61° in Bayside today. Tomorrow: clear, around 65°, with a 0% chance of rain.

61°44°
65°42°
69°48°
59°48°
56°44°
63°49°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
61°
Partly cloudy
Today 61°·Low 45°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
63°
Cloudy
Today 63°·Low 43°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
61°
Cloudy
Today 61°·Low 43°·Rain 0%
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Bayside weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Bayside weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Bayside swings 58°F across the year, from 82°F highs in July to 24°F lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 48 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 95 days a year at 77°F or above, 25 of them at 86°F or above, 81 frost nights, and rain on 132 days.

Warmest month
July
82°F average high
Coldest month
February
24°F average low
Wettest month
July
48 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
66,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
99/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
95 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
81 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
132 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Bayside’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bayside and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bayside hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bayside 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
61° 44°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
65° 42°
models agree
Mon
Clear
69° 48°
models agree
Tue
Clear
59° 48°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
56° 44°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
63° 49°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
68° 52°
±7°
Sat
Partly cloudy
65° 51°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
61° 50°
±9°
Mon
Drizzle
62° 55°
±15°
Tue
Cloudy
63° 50°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
54° 43°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
56° 42°
models agree

Bayside, New York (NY) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 24°F), with roughly 48 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bayside right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Bayside climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
38°
25°
Feb
40°
24°
Mar
48°
32°
Apr
58°
41°
May
69°
51°
Jun
78°
61°
Jul
82°
67°
Aug
82°
67°
Sep
75°
59°
Oct
64°
47°
Nov
54°
38°
Dec
42°
29°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Bayside has changed since 1995

Bayside sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Manhattan. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Manhattan page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Bayside?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
99
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F99±0.3 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F87±4.0 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°61° to 63°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°65° to 65°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°68° to 70°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°58° to 60°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±4°54° to 58°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bayside

today, local time
Sunrise
07:16
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
10h 45m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bayside today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 61° in Bayside today. Tomorrow: clear, around 65°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Bayside today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Bayside on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bayside?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bayside (CheckWeather Score 99/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bayside?
July is typically the warmest month in Bayside, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Bayside get?
The coldest month in Bayside is February, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Bayside get?
Bayside sees roughly 48 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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