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CheckWeather USLake Carmel

Lake Carmel weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
62°
Clear
Feels 62° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 84%
AmericanNOAA GFS
61°
Clear
Feels 59° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 68%
EuropeanECMWF
61°
Clear
Feels 60° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 74%

Latest for Lake Carmel: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 62° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 61° Clear · European (ECMWF): 61° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lake Carmel and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Lake Carmel, NY is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 25°F), with roughly 55 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lake Carmel right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lake Carmel climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
40°
27°
Feb
42°
25°
Mar
48°
31°
Apr
59°
41°
May
69°
49°
Jun
78°
59°
Jul
83°
66°
Aug
78°
62°
Sep
73°
57°
Oct
64°
47°
Nov
50°
35°
Dec
41°
28°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F93±2.2 mph4972% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Lake Carmel today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lake Carmel today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lake Carmel today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lake Carmel and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lake Carmel?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Lake Carmel forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Lake Carmel?
July is typically the warmest month in Lake Carmel, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Lake Carmel get?
The coldest month in Lake Carmel is February, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Lake Carmel get?
Lake Carmel sees roughly 55 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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