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CheckWeather USDanbury
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Danbury weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 75° in Danbury today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 70°, with a 76% chance of rain.

75°61°
70°59°
74°55°
78°56°
77°61°
78°65°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
76°
Light drizzle
Today 76°·Low 60°·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Cloudy
Today 74°·Low 60°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
75°
Light drizzle
Today 75°·Low 62°·Rain 65%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Danbury and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
75° 61°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
70° 59°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
74° 55°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
78° 56°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
77° 61°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
78° 65°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
75° 60°
±9°
Sat
Cloudy
76° 57°
±9°
Sun
Cloudy
80° 61°
±9°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
83° 65°
±17°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
76° 61°
±19°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
74° 56°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
74° 54°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
69° 56°
±8°

Danbury, CT is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 26°F), with roughly 53 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Danbury right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Danbury climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
41°
28°
Feb
43°
26°
Mar
49°
32°
Apr
59°
41°
May
69°
50°
Jun
78°
59°
Jul
83°
67°
Aug
78°
63°
Sep
73°
57°
Oct
65°
48°
Nov
51°
37°
Dec
43°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Danbury?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F96±1.4 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #2
91±0.9°F95±1.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°74° to 76°±60%5% to 65% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree70° to 70°±64%12% to 76% chance
Mon±4°72° to 76°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°77° to 79°±8%0% to 8% chance
Wed±7°72° to 79°models agree14% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Danbury

today, local time
Sunrise
06:24
Sunset
19:20
Daylight
12h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in Danbury today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Danbury today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Danbury today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Danbury and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Danbury?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Danbury (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the American at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Danbury?
July is typically the warmest month in Danbury, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Danbury get?
The coldest month in Danbury is February, when overnight lows average about 26°F.
How much rain does Danbury get?
Danbury sees roughly 53 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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