Skip to main content
Every US forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USStaten Island
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Staten Island weather

Loading live data…

Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 79° in Staten Island today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 75°, with a 62% chance of rain.

79°68°
75°65°
79°61°
83°63°
86°68°
84°72°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
80°
Partly cloudy
Today 80°·Low 68°·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Cloudy
Today 78°·Low 67°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
79°
Light drizzle
Today 79°·Low 69°·Rain 14%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Staten Island and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
79° 68°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
75° 65°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
79° 61°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
83° 63°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
86° 68°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
84° 72°
±9°
Fri
Cloudy
81° 67°
±10°
Sat
Mostly clear
79° 65°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
81° 68°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
84° 70°
±12°
Tue
Drizzle
78° 66°
±16°
Wed
Drizzle
74° 63°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
74° 62°
models agree
Fri
Showers
71° 61°
±6°

Staten Island, NY is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 30°F), with roughly 51 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Staten Island right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Staten Island climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
44°
32°
Feb
45°
30°
Mar
51°
36°
Apr
61°
45°
May
69°
53°
Jun
79°
63°
Jul
85°
70°
Aug
81°
67°
Sep
76°
61°
Oct
68°
51°
Nov
55°
40°
Dec
45°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in Staten Island?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F94±1.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F95±1.6 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°78° to 80°±9%5% to 14% chance
Tomorrow±4°73° to 77°±53%9% to 62% chance
Mon±2°78° to 80°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±3°82° to 85°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±4°85° to 89°±9%3% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Staten Island

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
19:22
Daylight
12h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in Staten Island today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Staten Island today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Staten Island today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Staten Island and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Staten Island?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Staten Island (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Staten Island?
July is typically the warmest month in Staten Island, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Staten Island get?
The coldest month in Staten Island is February, when overnight lows average about 30°F.
How much rain does Staten Island get?
Staten Island sees roughly 51 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather