Skip to main content
Every US forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USSheepshead Bay
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Sheepshead Bay weather

Loading live data…

Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in Sheepshead Bay today. Tomorrow looks rain around 75°, with a 51% chance of rain.

80°68°
75°64°
79°61°
81°66°
84°70°
84°73°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
81°
Light drizzle
Today 81°·Low 70°·Rain 3%
AmericanNOAA GFS
82°
Cloudy
Today 82°·Low 66°·Rain 3%
EuropeanECMWF
79°
Light drizzle
Today 79°·Low 68°·Rain 8%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Sheepshead Bay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
80° 68°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
75° 64°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
79° 61°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
81° 66°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
84° 70°
±5°
Thu
Partly cloudy
84° 73°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
80° 68°
±9°
Sat
Partly cloudy
78° 66°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
80° 70°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
82° 71°
±7°
Tue
Drizzle
76° 67°
±12°
Wed
Light drizzle
74° 64°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
74° 62°
models agree
Fri
Light rain
72° 61°
±6°

Sheepshead Bay, NY is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 31°F), with roughly 51 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Sheepshead Bay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Sheepshead Bay climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
44°
33°
Feb
45°
31°
Mar
51°
36°
Apr
59°
45°
May
67°
53°
Jun
76°
63°
Jul
82°
70°
Aug
80°
67°
Sep
75°
62°
Oct
67°
52°
Nov
55°
41°
Dec
45°
34°

Which forecast is most accurate in Sheepshead Bay?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
76
/100rank #1
74±2.6°F88±3.6 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F93±2.2 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°79° to 82°±5%3% to 8% chance
Tomorrow±4°73° to 77°±41%10% to 51% chance
Mon±1°78° to 79°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±2°81° to 82°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±5°83° to 87°±6%4% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sheepshead Bay

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
19:21
Daylight
12h 54m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sheepshead Bay today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Sheepshead Bay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Sheepshead Bay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Sheepshead Bay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sheepshead Bay?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sheepshead Bay (CheckWeather Score 76/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sheepshead Bay?
July is typically the warmest month in Sheepshead Bay, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Sheepshead Bay get?
The coldest month in Sheepshead Bay is February, when overnight lows average about 31°F.
How much rain does Sheepshead Bay get?
Sheepshead Bay sees roughly 51 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather