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CheckWeather USConey Island
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Coney Island weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in Coney Island today. Tomorrow looks rain around 75°, with a 51% chance of rain.

80°68°
75°64°
79°61°
82°65°
85°69°
84°73°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
81°
Light drizzle
Today 81°·Low 69°·Rain 3%
AmericanNOAA GFS
82°
Cloudy
Today 82°·Low 66°·Rain 3%
EuropeanECMWF
79°
Light drizzle
Today 79°·Low 68°·Rain 8%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Coney Island and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
80° 68°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
75° 64°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
79° 61°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
82° 65°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
85° 69°
±5°
Thu
Partly cloudy
84° 73°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
80° 68°
±9°
Sat
Partly cloudy
78° 66°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
80° 70°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
82° 71°
±7°
Tue
Drizzle
76° 67°
±12°
Wed
Light drizzle
74° 64°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
74° 62°
models agree
Fri
Light rain
72° 61°
±6°

Coney Island, NY is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 31°F), with roughly 51 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Coney Island right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Coney Island climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
44°
33°
Feb
45°
31°
Mar
51°
36°
Apr
59°
45°
May
67°
53°
Jun
76°
63°
Jul
82°
70°
Aug
80°
67°
Sep
75°
62°
Oct
67°
52°
Nov
55°
41°
Dec
45°
34°

Which forecast is most accurate in Coney Island?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
78
/100rank #1
77±2.3°F88±3.6 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F93±2.1 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°79° to 82°±5%3% to 8% chance
Tomorrow±4°73° to 77°±41%10% to 51% chance
Mon±1°79° to 79°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±2°81° to 82°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±5°83° to 88°±6%4% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Coney Island

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
19:21
Daylight
12h 54m

Common questions

What's the weather in Coney Island today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Coney Island today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Coney Island today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Coney Island and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Coney Island?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Coney Island (CheckWeather Score 78/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Coney Island?
July is typically the warmest month in Coney Island, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Coney Island get?
The coldest month in Coney Island is February, when overnight lows average about 31°F.
How much rain does Coney Island get?
Coney Island sees roughly 51 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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