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Shirley weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
49°
Partly cloudy
Feels 46° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 79%
AmericanNOAA GFS
42°
Partly cloudy
Feels 39° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 83%
EuropeanECMWF
49°
Overcast
Feels 45° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 77%

Latest for Shirley: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 49° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 42° Partly cloudy · European (ECMWF): 49° Overcast.

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Shirley weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Shirley…

Shirley weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Shirley swings 51°F across the year, from 78°F highs in July to 27°F lows in February, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 47 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 59 days a year at 77°F or above, 3 of them at 86°F or above, 62 frost nights, and rain on 127 days.

Warmest month
July
78°F average high
Coldest month
February
27°F average low
Wettest month
March
47 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
28,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
59 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
62 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
127 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Shirley’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Shirley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Shirley hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Shirley 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Shirley, New York (NY) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 78°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 27°F), with roughly 47 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Shirley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Shirley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
39°
28°
Feb
40°
27°
Mar
46°
32°
Apr
53°
42°
May
62°
50°
Jun
72°
61°
Jul
78°
68°
Aug
78°
67°
Sep
72°
61°
Oct
62°
50°
Nov
52°
40°
Dec
44°
33°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Shirley has changed since 1995

Shirley sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Bridgeport. That square ran 1.7°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Bridgeport page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Shirley?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F95±1.5 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
86
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F95±1.7 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Shirley today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Shirley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Shirley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Shirley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Shirley?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Shirley (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the European at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Shirley?
July is typically the warmest month in Shirley, with average highs around 78°F.
How cold does Shirley get?
The coldest month in Shirley is February, when overnight lows average about 27°F.
How much rain does Shirley get?
Shirley sees roughly 47 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

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