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CheckWeather USJamaica
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Jamaica weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in Jamaica today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 74°, with a 78% chance of rain.

80°68°
74°64°
78°60°
83°65°
83°70°
83°73°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
69°
Mainly clear
Feels 71° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 73%
AmericanNOAA GFS
66°
Mainly clear
Feels 69° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 89%
EuropeanECMWF
69°
Clear
Feels 72° · Wind 1 mph · Humidity 75%

Latest for Jamaica: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 69° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 66° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): 69° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Jamaica and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
80° 68°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
74° 64°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
78° 60°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
83° 65°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
83° 70°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
83° 73°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
81° 68°
±12°
Sat
Mostly clear
78° 66°
±6°
Sun
Partly cloudy
80° 69°
±5°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
84° 71°
±13°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
78° 67°
±18°
Wed
Light drizzle
76° 64°
±11°
Thu
Cloudy
75° 62°
models agree
Fri
Light rain
72° 61°
±5°

Jamaica, NY is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 30°F), with roughly 52 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Jamaica right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Jamaica climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
44°
32°
Feb
45°
30°
Mar
51°
35°
Apr
59°
44°
May
68°
52°
Jun
77°
62°
Jul
82°
69°
Aug
80°
67°
Sep
75°
61°
Oct
67°
51°
Nov
55°
40°
Dec
45°
34°

Which forecast is most accurate in Jamaica?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
79±2.1°F94±1.8 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F94±1.8 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°79° to 81°±8%2% to 10% chance
Tomorrow±2°73° to 74°±63%15% to 78% chance
Monmodels agree78° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°81° to 86°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±3°81° to 84°±8%4% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Jamaica

today, local time
Sunrise
06:26
Sunset
19:21
Daylight
12h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in Jamaica today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Jamaica today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Jamaica today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Jamaica and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Jamaica?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Jamaica (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Jamaica?
July is typically the warmest month in Jamaica, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Jamaica get?
The coldest month in Jamaica is February, when overnight lows average about 30°F.
How much rain does Jamaica get?
Jamaica sees roughly 52 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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