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CheckWeather USSchenectady
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Schenectady weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 74° in Schenectady today. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 72°, with a 61% chance of rain.

74°61°
72°59°
77°55°
78°58°
73°62°
78°64°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±11°Thursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
76°
Partly cloudy
Today 76°·Low 60°·Rain 7%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Cloudy
Today 74°·Low 61°·Rain 7%
EuropeanECMWF
74°
Light drizzle
Today 74°·Low 62°·Rain 84%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Schenectady and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
74° 61°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
72° 59°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
77° 55°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
78° 58°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
73° 62°
±11°
Thu
Light drizzle
78° 64°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
72° 59°
±7°
Sat
Cloudy
77° 55°
±11°
Sun
Light drizzle
82° 60°
±12°
Mon
Light rain
75° 61°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
76° 58°
±18°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
71° 54°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
71° 53°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
71° 55°
models agree

Schenectady, NY is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 22°F), with roughly 52 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Schenectady right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Schenectady climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
37°
24°
Feb
42°
22°
Mar
47°
29°
Apr
60°
39°
May
72°
49°
Jun
79°
58°
Jul
85°
65°
Aug
79°
61°
Sep
75°
56°
Oct
64°
46°
Nov
49°
34°
Dec
38°
26°

Which forecast is most accurate in Schenectady?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F96±1.2 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F96±1.2 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°74° to 76°±77%7% to 84% chance
Tomorrow±1°71° to 72°±57%4% to 61% chance
Mon±2°76° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°77° to 78°±22%1% to 23% chance
Wed±11°68° to 78°±1%59% to 60% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Schenectady

today, local time
Sunrise
06:25
Sunset
19:23
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Schenectady today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Schenectady today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Schenectady today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Schenectady and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Schenectady?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Schenectady (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Schenectady?
July is typically the warmest month in Schenectady, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Schenectady get?
The coldest month in Schenectady is February, when overnight lows average about 22°F.
How much rain does Schenectady get?
Schenectady sees roughly 52 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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