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CheckWeather USClay
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Clay weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 73° in Clay today. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 73°, with a 2% chance of rain.

73°59°
73°57°
74°53°
77°56°
75°64°
73°62°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±11°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
74°
Partly cloudy
Today 74°·Low 58°·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Cloudy
Today 74°·Low 58°·Rain 6%
EuropeanECMWF
72°
Light drizzle
Today 72°·Low 61°·Rain 80%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Clay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
73° 59°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
73° 57°
±4°
Mon
Mostly clear
74° 53°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
77° 56°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
75° 64°
±11°
Thu
Light drizzle
73° 62°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
69° 56°
±6°
Sat
Partly cloudy
77° 55°
±13°
Sun
Light drizzle
82° 63°
±11°
Mon
Drizzle
75° 60°
±7°
Tue
Light drizzle
74° 58°
±19°
Wed
Heavy showers
69° 56°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
70° 51°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
70° 51°
models agree

Clay, NY is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 23°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Clay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Clay climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
36°
26°
Feb
41°
23°
Mar
45°
28°
Apr
59°
39°
May
70°
49°
Jun
77°
59°
Jul
83°
65°
Aug
77°
62°
Sep
74°
57°
Oct
62°
47°
Nov
48°
36°
Dec
39°
29°

Which forecast is most accurate in Clay?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±1.1 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
60
/100rank #2
78±2.2°F92±2.4 mph1855% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°72° to 74°±74%6% to 80% chance
Tomorrow±4°71° to 75°±1%1% to 2% chance
Mon±2°73° to 75°±9%1% to 10% chance
Tue±2°76° to 78°±3%1% to 4% chance
Wed±11°70° to 80°±8%74% to 82% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Clay

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
19:32
Daylight
12h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Clay today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Clay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Clay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Clay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Clay?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Clay (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 60. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Clay?
July is typically the warmest month in Clay, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Clay get?
The coldest month in Clay is February, when overnight lows average about 23°F.
How much rain does Clay get?
Clay sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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