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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Albany weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 58° in Albany today. Tomorrow: clear, around 61°, with a 0% chance of rain.

58°33°
61°34°
66°38°
53°37°
53°32°
61°40°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
44°
Partly cloudy
Feels 40° · Wind 1 mph · Humidity 84%
AmericanNOAA GFS
36°
Overcast
Feels 32° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 94%
EuropeanECMWF
43°
Overcast
Feels 38° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 77%

Latest for Albany: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 44° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 36° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 43° Overcast.

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Albany weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Albany…

Albany weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Albany swings 65°F across the year, from 83°F highs in July to 18°F lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 42 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 93 days a year at 77°F or above, 29 of them at 86°F or above, 118 frost nights, and rain on 136 days.

Warmest month
July
83°F average high
Coldest month
January
18°F average low
Wettest month
July
42 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
May, September and October
Residents
101,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
93 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
118 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
136 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Albany’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Albany and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Albany hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Albany 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
58° 33°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
61° 34°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
66° 38°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
53° 37°
±4°
Wed
Mostly clear
53° 32°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
61° 40°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
64° 46°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
60° 44°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
61° 44°
±5°
Mon
Drizzle
59° 48°
±23°
Tue
Drizzle
61° 43°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
49° 38°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
52° 36°
models agree

Albany, New York (NY) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 18°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Albany right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Albany climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
31°
18°
Feb
38°
19°
Mar
46°
28°
Apr
58°
37°
May
71°
48°
Jun
79°
58°
Jul
83°
64°
Aug
80°
63°
Sep
74°
55°
Oct
61°
42°
Nov
49°
33°
Dec
37°
24°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Albany's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.5°F

Around Albany, 2015-2024 averaged 1.5°F warmer than 1995-2004. 5 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2012.

1995: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average1996: −2.4°F vs the 30-year average1997: −2.1°F vs the 30-year average1998: +1.3°F vs the 30-year average1999: +1.0°F vs the 30-year average2000: −2.1°F vs the 30-year average2001: +0.8°F vs the 30-year average2002: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2003: −2.1°F vs the 30-year average2004: −1.4°F vs the 30-year average2005: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2006: +0.8°F vs the 30-year average2007: −1.0°F vs the 30-year average2008: −0.8°F vs the 30-year average2009: −1.4°F vs the 30-year average2010: +0.8°F vs the 30-year average2011: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2012: +2.2°F vs the 30-year average2013: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2014: −1.9°F vs the 30-year average2015: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.7°F vs the 30-year average2017: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2018: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2019: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2020: +1.5°F vs the 30-year average2021: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2022: +0.8°F vs the 30-year average2023: +1.7°F vs the 30-year average2024: +2.2°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 86°F

3 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +20 vs the 30-year average1996: −14 vs the 30-year average1997: −6 vs the 30-year average1998: −12 vs the 30-year average1999: +20 vs the 30-year average2000: −13 vs the 30-year average2001: +4 vs the 30-year average2002: +23 vs the 30-year average2003: −10 vs the 30-year average2004: −14 vs the 30-year average2005: +15 vs the 30-year average2006: −8 vs the 30-year average2007: −0 vs the 30-year average2008: −9 vs the 30-year average2009: −11 vs the 30-year average2010: +8 vs the 30-year average2011: −11 vs the 30-year average2012: +10 vs the 30-year average2013: −9 vs the 30-year average2014: −11 vs the 30-year average2015: +6 vs the 30-year average2016: +19 vs the 30-year average2017: −10 vs the 30-year average2018: +9 vs the 30-year average2019: −3 vs the 30-year average2020: +8 vs the 30-year average2021: −3 vs the 30-year average2022: +13 vs the 30-year average2023: −8 vs the 30-year average2024: −0 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

7 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +9 vs the 30-year average1996: +17 vs the 30-year average1997: +12 vs the 30-year average1998: −11 vs the 30-year average1999: +5 vs the 30-year average2000: +2 vs the 30-year average2001: −4 vs the 30-year average2002: +11 vs the 30-year average2003: +6 vs the 30-year average2004: −3 vs the 30-year average2005: −1 vs the 30-year average2006: −10 vs the 30-year average2007: +3 vs the 30-year average2008: +7 vs the 30-year average2009: −6 vs the 30-year average2010: −11 vs the 30-year average2011: −6 vs the 30-year average2012: −2 vs the 30-year average2013: +7 vs the 30-year average2014: +7 vs the 30-year average2015: −8 vs the 30-year average2016: −0 vs the 30-year average2017: −9 vs the 30-year average2018: +17 vs the 30-year average2019: +4 vs the 30-year average2020: −3 vs the 30-year average2021: −7 vs the 30-year average2022: −5 vs the 30-year average2023: −7 vs the 30-year average2024: −13 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−3%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +3% vs the 30-year average1996: +3% vs the 30-year average1997: +8% vs the 30-year average1998: −6% vs the 30-year average1999: +3% vs the 30-year average2000: +3% vs the 30-year average2001: −1% vs the 30-year average2002: +3% vs the 30-year average2003: −1% vs the 30-year average2004: −1% vs the 30-year average2005: −1% vs the 30-year average2006: −1% vs the 30-year average2007: −1% vs the 30-year average2008: −1% vs the 30-year average2009: −1% vs the 30-year average2010: +3% vs the 30-year average2011: −1% vs the 30-year average2012: −1% vs the 30-year average2013: −1% vs the 30-year average2014: +3% vs the 30-year average2015: −1% vs the 30-year average2016: +3% vs the 30-year average2017: +3% vs the 30-year average2018: −1% vs the 30-year average2019: −1% vs the 30-year average2020: −1% vs the 30-year average2021: −6% vs the 30-year average2022: +3% vs the 30-year average2023: −6% vs the 30-year average2024: −6% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >86°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.6°F+20+9+3%
1996−2.4°F−14+17+3%
1997−2.1°F−6+12+8%
1998+1.3°F−12−11−6%
1999+1.0°F+20+5+3%
2000−2.1°F−13+2+3%
2001+0.8°F+4−4−1%
2002+1.2°F+23+11+3%
2003−2.1°F−10+6−1%
2004−1.4°F−14−3−1%
2005−0.1°F+15−1−1%
2006+0.8°F−8−10−1%
2007−1.0°F−0+3−1%
2008−0.8°F−9+7−1%
2009−1.4°F−11−6−1%
2010+0.8°F+8−11+3%
2011+0.1°F−11−6−1%
2012+2.2°F+10−2−1%
2013−0.6°F−9+7−1%
2014−1.9°F−11+7+3%
2015−0.5°F+6−8−1%
2016+1.7°F+19−0+3%
2017+0.3°F−10−9+3%
2018−0.1°F+9+17−1%
2019−0.6°F−3+4−1%
2020+1.5°F+8−3−1%
2021+1.2°F−3−7−6%
2022+0.8°F+13−5+3%
2023+1.7°F−8−7−6%
2024+2.2°F−0−13−6%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Albany, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Albany?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±1.0 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F95±1.5 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°57° to 59°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°60° to 63°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°65° to 67°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±4°51° to 55°±1%1% to 2% chance
Wed±4°52° to 55°±1%1% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Albany

today, local time
Sunrise
07:19
Sunset
17:58
Daylight
10h 39m

Common questions

What's the weather in Albany today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 58° in Albany today. Tomorrow: clear, around 61°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Albany today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Albany on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Albany?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Albany (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Albany?
July is typically the warmest month in Albany, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Albany get?
The coldest month in Albany is January, when overnight lows average about 18°F.
How much rain does Albany get?
Albany sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
Is Albany getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Albany, 2015-2024 averaged 1.5°F warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

RensselaerWest AlbanyRoesslevilleDelmarColonieWatervlietTroyWestmere

More US weather

Which forecast is most accurate in United States?US rain radarNWS vs American vs European: models comparedHow we measure forecast accuracyHow accurate is a 7-day forecast?New York State weather todayAll US citiesHoliday weather abroadEmbed Albany on your siteThe national forecast models, explained: NBM, UKMO, GEM and ACCESS