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CheckWeather USHempstead
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Hempstead weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in Hempstead today. Tomorrow looks heavy drizzle around 73°, with a 82% chance of rain.

80°68°
73°62°
78°59°
83°64°
81°69°
85°72°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
80°
Partly cloudy
Today 80°·Low 67°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
81°
Partly cloudy
Today 81°·Low 69°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Light drizzle
Today 78°·Low 67°·Rain 28%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Hempstead and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
80° 68°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
73° 62°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
78° 59°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
83° 64°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
81° 69°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
85° 72°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
80° 68°
±12°
Sat
Mostly clear
79° 65°
±6°
Sun
Partly cloudy
81° 68°
±6°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
84° 71°
±13°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
78° 67°
±18°
Wed
Cloudy
77° 64°
±12°
Thu
Cloudy
75° 62°
models agree
Fri
Light rain
72° 60°
±6°

Hempstead, NY is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 29°F), with roughly 55 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Hempstead right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Hempstead climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
44°
31°
Feb
45°
29°
Mar
51°
35°
Apr
61°
44°
May
69°
51°
Jun
78°
61°
Jul
83°
68°
Aug
81°
65°
Sep
75°
60°
Oct
67°
50°
Nov
54°
39°
Dec
45°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in Hempstead?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F98±0.7 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
58
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F91±2.9 mph548% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°78° to 81°±26%2% to 28% chance
Tomorrow±2°73° to 75°±66%16% to 82% chance
Mon±1°77° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°81° to 86°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±2°80° to 82°±6%4% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hempstead

today, local time
Sunrise
06:25
Sunset
19:20
Daylight
12h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hempstead today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Hempstead today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Hempstead today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Hempstead and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hempstead?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Hempstead (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 58. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hempstead?
July is typically the warmest month in Hempstead, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Hempstead get?
The coldest month in Hempstead is February, when overnight lows average about 29°F.
How much rain does Hempstead get?
Hempstead sees roughly 55 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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