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CheckWeather USNew Rochelle
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

New Rochelle weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 79° in New Rochelle today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 74°, with a 73% chance of rain.

79°66°
74°62°
78°59°
82°62°
84°68°
82°71°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Partly cloudy
Today 78°·Low 66°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
80°
Partly cloudy
Today 80°·Low 67°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Partly cloudy
Today 78°·Low 66°·Rain 47%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around New Rochelle and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
79° 66°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
74° 62°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
78° 59°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
82° 62°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
84° 68°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
82° 71°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
79° 65°
±11°
Sat
Mostly clear
79° 63°
±10°
Sun
Partly cloudy
82° 67°
±8°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
85° 70°
±18°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
79° 65°
±22°
Wed
Light drizzle
75° 62°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
75° 59°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
71° 61°
±7°

New Rochelle, NY is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 29°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for New Rochelle right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

New Rochelle climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
43°
31°
Feb
45°
29°
Mar
51°
35°
Apr
62°
44°
May
71°
52°
Jun
80°
61°
Jul
85°
68°
Aug
81°
65°
Sep
75°
59°
Oct
67°
50°
Nov
54°
39°
Dec
45°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in New Rochelle?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±0.8 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
66
/100rank #2
77±2.3°F91±2.9 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°78° to 80°±46%1% to 47% chance
Tomorrow±4°72° to 76°±52%21% to 73% chance
Mon±1°77° to 78°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tue±3°81° to 85°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±2°82° to 84°±3%11% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in New Rochelle

today, local time
Sunrise
06:26
Sunset
19:21
Daylight
12h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in New Rochelle today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for New Rochelle today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in New Rochelle today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for New Rochelle and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for New Rochelle?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for New Rochelle (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 66. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in New Rochelle?
July is typically the warmest month in New Rochelle, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does New Rochelle get?
The coldest month in New Rochelle is February, when overnight lows average about 29°F.
How much rain does New Rochelle get?
New Rochelle sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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