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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Spring Hill weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in Spring Hill today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 80°, with a 9% chance of rain.

80°58°
80°66°
82°67°
82°63°
81°62°
83°66°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
80°
Mostly clear
Today 80°·Low 58°·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
79°
Cloudy
Today 79°·Low 57°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
80°
Light drizzle
Today 80°·Low 60°·Rain 57%
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Spring Hill weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Spring Hill…

Spring Hill weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Spring Hill swings 38°F across the year, from 88°F highs in July to 50°F lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 55 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 265 days a year at 77°F or above, 127 of them at 86°F or above, 1 frost night, and rain on 159 days.

Warmest month
July
88°F average high
Coldest month
January
50°F average low
Wettest month
July
55 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and November
Residents
99,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
98/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
265 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
1 night
a year below 32°F
Rain days
159 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Spring Hill’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Spring Hill and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Spring Hill hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Spring Hill 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
80° 58°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
80° 66°
±4°
Mon
Mostly clear
82° 67°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
82° 63°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
81° 62°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
83° 66°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
83° 64°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
83° 63°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
82° 64°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
82° 64°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
79° 65°
±7°
Wed
Clear
77° 59°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
79° 59°
models agree

Spring Hill, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 50°F), with roughly 55 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Spring Hill right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Spring Hill climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
69°
50°
Feb
71°
52°
Mar
75°
55°
Apr
81°
60°
May
86°
66°
Jun
87°
71°
Jul
88°
72°
Aug
88°
72°
Sep
87°
70°
Oct
81°
65°
Nov
75°
57°
Dec
70°
54°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Spring Hill's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.6°F

Around Spring Hill, 2015-2024 averaged 1.6°F warmer than 1995-2004. 9 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2023.

1995: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average1996: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average1997: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average1998: +0.4°F vs the 30-year average1999: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2000: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2001: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average2002: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2003: −1.4°F vs the 30-year average2004: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average2005: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average2006: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2007: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2008: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average2009: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average2010: −2.7°F vs the 30-year average2011: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2012: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2013: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2014: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average2015: +1.4°F vs the 30-year average2016: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2017: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2018: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2019: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2020: +1.4°F vs the 30-year average2021: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2022: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2023: +2.2°F vs the 30-year average2024: +1.6°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 86°F

31 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004

1995: +4 vs the 30-year average1996: −4 vs the 30-year average1997: −14 vs the 30-year average1998: −4 vs the 30-year average1999: −7 vs the 30-year average2000: +0 vs the 30-year average2001: −30 vs the 30-year average2002: −2 vs the 30-year average2003: −54 vs the 30-year average2004: −10 vs the 30-year average2005: −12 vs the 30-year average2006: +10 vs the 30-year average2007: +10 vs the 30-year average2008: −34 vs the 30-year average2009: −19 vs the 30-year average2010: +20 vs the 30-year average2011: +13 vs the 30-year average2012: −36 vs the 30-year average2013: −17 vs the 30-year average2014: −9 vs the 30-year average2015: −9 vs the 30-year average2016: +10 vs the 30-year average2017: +10 vs the 30-year average2018: −6 vs the 30-year average2019: +27 vs the 30-year average2020: +25 vs the 30-year average2021: +2 vs the 30-year average2022: +33 vs the 30-year average2023: +49 vs the 30-year average2024: +50 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−4%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +6% vs the 30-year average1996: +9% vs the 30-year average1997: +1% vs the 30-year average1998: +6% vs the 30-year average1999: +1% vs the 30-year average2000: +6% vs the 30-year average2001: +4% vs the 30-year average2002: −4% vs the 30-year average2003: −4% vs the 30-year average2004: +1% vs the 30-year average2005: +4% vs the 30-year average2006: +1% vs the 30-year average2007: +1% vs the 30-year average2008: +4% vs the 30-year average2009: −4% vs the 30-year average2010: +1% vs the 30-year average2011: −4% vs the 30-year average2012: −2% vs the 30-year average2013: −2% vs the 30-year average2014: −10% vs the 30-year average2015: −4% vs the 30-year average2016: −2% vs the 30-year average2017: −4% vs the 30-year average2018: −2% vs the 30-year average2019: −2% vs the 30-year average2020: +4% vs the 30-year average2021: −4% vs the 30-year average2022: −4% vs the 30-year average2023: +1% vs the 30-year average2024: +1% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >86°F vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.7°F+4+6%
1996−1.3°F−4+9%
1997+0.2°F−14+1%
1998+0.4°F−4+6%
1999−0.2°F−7+1%
2000−0.4°F+0+6%
2001−0.7°F−30+4%
2002−0.4°F−2−4%
2003−1.4°F−54−4%
2004−0.7°F−10+1%
2005−0.9°F−12+4%
2006+0.2°F+10+1%
2007+0.2°F+10+1%
2008−0.9°F−34+4%
2009−0.7°F−19−4%
2010−2.7°F+20+1%
2011±0.0°F+13−4%
2012+0.2°F−36−2%
2013±0.0°F−17−2%
2014−1.3°F−9−10%
2015+1.4°F−9−4%
2016+0.5°F+10−2%
2017+1.1°F+10−4%
2018±0.0°F−6−2%
2019+1.1°F+27−2%
2020+1.4°F+25+4%
2021+0.7°F+2−4%
2022+1.1°F+33−4%
2023+2.2°F+49+1%
2024+1.6°F+50+1%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Spring Hill, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Spring Hill?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F98±0.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
70
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F94±2.0 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°79° to 80°±52%5% to 57% chance
Tomorrow±4°78° to 82°±7%2% to 9% chance
Mon±1°82° to 82°±13%2% to 15% chance
Tue±2°81° to 83°±13%1% to 14% chance
Wed±3°80° to 83°±20%5% to 25% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Spring Hill

today, local time
Sunrise
07:36
Sunset
18:51
Daylight
11h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Spring Hill today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in Spring Hill today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 80°, with a 9% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Spring Hill today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Spring Hill on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 9% (NWS 2%, American 2%, European 9%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 57%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Spring Hill?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Spring Hill (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 70. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Spring Hill?
July is typically the warmest month in Spring Hill, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Spring Hill get?
The coldest month in Spring Hill is January, when overnight lows average about 50°F.
How much rain does Spring Hill get?
Spring Hill sees roughly 55 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
Is Spring Hill getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Spring Hill, 2015-2024 averaged 1.6°F warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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