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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Bradenton weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 90° in Bradenton today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 88°, with a 69% chance of rain.

90°78°
88°78°
87°77°
88°76°
91°76°
88°76°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
90°
Showers
Today 90°·Low 77°·Rain 11%
AmericanNOAA GFS
89°
Partly cloudy
Today 89°·Low 78°·Rain 11%
EuropeanECMWF
91°
Light drizzle
Today 91°·Low 77°·Rain 59%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bradenton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
90° 78°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
88° 78°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
87° 77°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
88° 76°
±7°
Wed
Drizzle
91° 76°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
88° 76°
±6°
Fri
Thunderstorm
89° 77°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
90° 77°
±8°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
91° 77°
±6°
Mon
Drizzle
90° 76°
±8°
Tue
Thunderstorm
89° 76°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
89° 76°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
88° 75°
±6°
Fri
Thunderstorm
87° 73°
±6°

Bradenton, FL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 55°F), with roughly 50 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bradenton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Bradenton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
70°
55°
Feb
74°
57°
Mar
79°
63°
Apr
82°
65°
May
87°
71°
Jun
87°
74°
Jul
90°
76°
Aug
90°
77°
Sep
88°
74°
Oct
83°
68°
Nov
79°
63°
Dec
72°
57°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bradenton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F95±1.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
57
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F94±1.9 mph042% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°89° to 91°±48%11% to 59% chance
Tomorrow±2°87° to 89°±56%13% to 69% chance
Mon±1°86° to 87°±35%43% to 78% chance
Tue±7°85° to 92°±28%63% to 91% chance
Wed±5°89° to 94°±24%62% to 86% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bradenton

today, local time
Sunrise
07:11
Sunset
19:46
Daylight
12h 35m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bradenton today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Bradenton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bradenton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Bradenton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bradenton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bradenton (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 57. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bradenton?
July is typically the warmest month in Bradenton, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Bradenton get?
The coldest month in Bradenton is January, when overnight lows average about 55°F.
How much rain does Bradenton get?
Bradenton sees roughly 50 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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