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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Bradenton weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Bradenton today. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 82°, with a 37% chance of rain.

81°62°
82°67°
84°68°
84°66°
83°66°
84°69°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
67°
Clear
Feels 67° · Wind 11 mph · Humidity 87%
AmericanNOAA GFS
65°
Clear
Feels 65° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 84%
EuropeanECMWF
66°
Clear
Feels 64° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 78%

Latest for Bradenton: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 67° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 65° Clear · European (ECMWF): 66° Clear.

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Bradenton weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Bradenton weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Bradenton swings 33°F across the year, from 87°F highs in July to 54°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 58 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 273 days a year at 77°F or above, 120 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 160 days.

Warmest month
July
87°F average high
Coldest month
January
54°F average low
Wettest month
August
58 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and November
Residents
54,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
98/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
273 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
160 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Bradenton’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bradenton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bradenton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bradenton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
81° 62°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
82° 67°
models agree
Mon
Clear
84° 68°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
84° 66°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
83° 66°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
84° 69°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
84° 68°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
84° 66°
±6°
Sun
Drizzle
83° 67°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
83° 66°
±6°
Tue
Cloudy
80° 66°
±7°
Wed
Clear
79° 64°
models agree
Thu
Clear
80° 63°
models agree

Bradenton, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 54°F), with roughly 58 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bradenton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Bradenton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
69°
54°
Feb
72°
55°
Mar
75°
59°
Apr
80°
63°
May
84°
68°
Jun
86°
73°
Jul
87°
73°
Aug
87°
74°
Sep
86°
72°
Oct
83°
68°
Nov
77°
61°
Dec
72°
57°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Bradenton has changed since 1995

Bradenton sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Sarasota. That square ran 1.5°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Sarasota page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Bradenton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F97±1.0 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
71
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F94±1.8 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°80° to 81°±1%3% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±3°80° to 84°±27%10% to 37% chance
Mon±2°83° to 85°±20%0% to 20% chance
Tue±1°83° to 84°±26%3% to 29% chance
Wed±2°82° to 83°±27%4% to 31% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bradenton

today, local time
Sunrise
07:35
Sunset
18:52
Daylight
11h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bradenton today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Bradenton today. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 82°, with a 37% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Bradenton today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Bradenton on Sunday, October 25: NWS 10%, American 10%, European 37%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 4%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bradenton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bradenton (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 71. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bradenton?
July is typically the warmest month in Bradenton, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Bradenton get?
The coldest month in Bradenton is January, when overnight lows average about 54°F.
How much rain does Bradenton get?
Bradenton sees roughly 58 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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