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Panama City weather

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Panama City weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Panama City weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Panama City swings 43°F across the year, from 89°F highs in August to 46°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 58 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 189 days a year at 77°F or above, 61 of them at 86°F or above, 3 frost nights, and rain on 147 days.

Warmest month
August
89°F average high
Coldest month
January
46°F average low
Wettest month
August
58 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
38,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
89/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
189 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
3 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
147 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Panama City’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Panama City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Panama City hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Panama City 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Panama City, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 46°F), with roughly 58 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Panama City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Panama City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
61°
46°
Feb
63°
50°
Mar
68°
55°
Apr
75°
61°
May
80°
68°
Jun
85°
74°
Jul
85°
76°
Aug
89°
75°
Sep
84°
72°
Oct
80°
63°
Nov
69°
55°
Dec
64°
49°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Panama City's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.3°F

Around Panama City, 2015-2024 averaged 1.3°F warmer than 1995-2004. 8 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2023.

1995: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average1996: −1.6°F vs the 30-year average1997: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average1998: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average1999: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2000: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2001: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2002: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2003: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average2004: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2005: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2006: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2007: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2008: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average2009: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2010: −1.8°F vs the 30-year average2011: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2012: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2013: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2014: −1.6°F vs the 30-year average2015: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2016: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2017: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2018: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2019: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2020: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2021: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2022: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2023: +1.8°F vs the 30-year average2024: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 86°F

20 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +3 vs the 30-year average1996: −33 vs the 30-year average1997: −18 vs the 30-year average1998: +6 vs the 30-year average1999: +1 vs the 30-year average2000: +12 vs the 30-year average2001: −28 vs the 30-year average2002: +1 vs the 30-year average2003: −47 vs the 30-year average2004: −9 vs the 30-year average2005: −13 vs the 30-year average2006: +34 vs the 30-year average2007: +35 vs the 30-year average2008: −12 vs the 30-year average2009: −13 vs the 30-year average2010: +32 vs the 30-year average2011: +34 vs the 30-year average2012: −36 vs the 30-year average2013: −21 vs the 30-year average2014: −17 vs the 30-year average2015: +9 vs the 30-year average2016: +9 vs the 30-year average2017: −24 vs the 30-year average2018: +9 vs the 30-year average2019: +38 vs the 30-year average2020: −7 vs the 30-year average2021: −29 vs the 30-year average2022: +22 vs the 30-year average2023: +22 vs the 30-year average2024: +37 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +2% vs the 30-year average1996: +4% vs the 30-year average1997: −0% vs the 30-year average1998: +4% vs the 30-year average1999: −0% vs the 30-year average2000: +2% vs the 30-year average2001: −0% vs the 30-year average2002: −3% vs the 30-year average2003: −3% vs the 30-year average2004: +2% vs the 30-year average2005: +4% vs the 30-year average2006: −0% vs the 30-year average2007: −0% vs the 30-year average2008: +6% vs the 30-year average2009: +4% vs the 30-year average2010: +2% vs the 30-year average2011: −3% vs the 30-year average2012: −0% vs the 30-year average2013: +4% vs the 30-year average2014: −7% vs the 30-year average2015: −3% vs the 30-year average2016: −3% vs the 30-year average2017: −3% vs the 30-year average2018: −0% vs the 30-year average2019: −0% vs the 30-year average2020: +6% vs the 30-year average2021: −5% vs the 30-year average2022: −5% vs the 30-year average2023: −3% vs the 30-year average2024: −0% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >86°F vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.7°F+3+2%
1996−1.6°F−33+4%
1997−0.9°F−18−0%
1998+0.2°F+6+4%
1999+0.3°F+1−0%
2000±0.0°F+12+2%
2001−0.4°F−28−0%
2002±0.0°F+1−3%
2003−1.1°F−47−3%
2004−0.4°F−9+2%
2005−0.6°F−13+4%
2006+0.7°F+34−0%
2007+0.3°F+35−0%
2008−0.9°F−12+6%
2009−0.6°F−13+4%
2010−1.8°F+32+2%
2011+0.2°F+34−3%
2012+0.7°F−36−0%
2013−0.6°F−21+4%
2014−1.6°F−17−7%
2015+1.1°F+9−3%
2016+0.7°F+9−3%
2017+1.1°F−24−3%
2018+0.3°F+9−0%
2019+0.9°F+38−0%
2020+0.9°F−7+6%
2021±0.0°F−29−5%
2022+0.7°F+22−5%
2023+1.8°F+22−3%
2024+1.2°F+37−0%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Panama City, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Panama City?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
86±1.4°F92±2.6 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
79±2.1°F95±1.6 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Panama City today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Panama City today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Panama City today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Panama City and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Panama City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Panama City (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Panama City?
August is typically the warmest month in Panama City, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Panama City get?
The coldest month in Panama City is January, when overnight lows average about 46°F.
How much rain does Panama City get?
Panama City sees roughly 58 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.
Is Panama City getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Panama City, 2015-2024 averaged 1.3°F warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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